John Calipari's Arkansas Razorbacks didn't have an easy path to the sweet 16, but it doesn't get easy from here.
Hogs beat 7th-placed Kansas in Round 1 and 2nd-placed St. John's in Round 32, but Texas Tech could represent the toughest test.
The Red Raiders are the eighth team in Kenpom's power rankings, with one spot superior in Baatlvik's model.
Texas Tech is a 5.5-point favorite in Arkansas on Thursday's Sweet 16 Clash.
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Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Bet Preview
Many punters were circling Texas engineers as potential gate crushers in the Final 4. The Red Raiders don't have a resume that rivals teams like Houston, Auburn, and Duke, but the underlying numbers are great.
Texas High Tech performs as the fifth most efficient offense in Kenpom's models, and is the top 40 units in defense.
Arkansas enjoyed a great performance against St. John's on Saturday, but it's pretty good to wonder if the pig caught a red storm on the right day. Johnny shot just 28% off the field and was 22-2 from 3-point range.
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St. John's was still able to stick to the game despite his low shooting performance.
Arkansas vs. Texas Tech Pick
The Razorbacks have proven to be gritty all season, but this looks just too a step.
Even if Adou Thiero returns to the lineup, the Razorbacks don't have the scoring ability to keep up with the Red Raiders.
Texas Tech is an offensive powerhouse and appears to be getting better as the season progresses.
pick: Texas Tech-5.5
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Michael Lubov is a patient and abundant islander fan, but is a long-time for-profit sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters acquire a pool of brackets, find long shots, and learn how to win the market in mainstream and niche sports.
