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Fantasy baseball’s best draft picks in first half go beyond stars

By the end of today, it will mark the end of a tumultuous season that has already seen three of our top 10 fantasy players suffer season-ending injuries and several other top picks struggle.

Rookie flamethrower Paul Skenes has confounded opponents, some veterans have been able to turn back the clock, and unknown names have appeared from nowhere to, in some sense, lead fantasy teams in the first half of the season.

Below is a group of players who provided big returns at their average draft position to be selected for Roto Rage’s 3rd Annual Bargain Bin All-Star Team.

First base

AL: Josh Naylor, The Guardians

While his batting average is mediocre, he already owns career highs in home runs, runs scored and slugging percentage. He’s fourth in RBIs and seventh in home runs, and his xBA suggests he could be even better in the second half of the season.

NL: Bryce Harper, Phillies

The player selected in the mid-to-late second round put up MVP-caliber numbers (.298 batting average, 20 home runs, 58 RBIs, 52 runs scored, .964 OPS).

Bryce Harper had an MVP-caliber performance for the Phillies. USA TODAY Sports via Reuters

Second base

AL: Jordan Westberg, Orioles

The first-time All-Star went from a .27833 batting average to start the season with a .280 batting average, 15 home runs, 50 RBI, 46 runs scored, six stolen bases and an .838 OPS in his first 86 games.

NL: Luis Garcia Jr., Nationals

A player with a 411 ADP hit double-digit home runs and stolen bases.

Luis Garcia Jr. has hit double digits in home runs and stolen bases for the Nationals. USA Today Sports

shortstop

AL: Carlos Correa, Twins

In his first 74 games, he batted .310 (his best since 2017) with 13 home runs, 47 RBI, 50 runs scored and a .905 OPS, earning him his first All-Star team selection since 2021.

NL: Jackson Merrill, Padres

The rookie, a late-round pick (ADP 292.53), entered the weekend batting .285 with 12 home runs, 46 RBI, 40 runs scored and 10 stolen bases.

Jackson Merrill is a rookie prospect who will be available for the Padres at the start of the 2024 season. USA Today Sports

Third base

AL: Jose Ramirez, The Guardians

Batting average .272, second in RBIs, fifth in home runs, 20th in OPS, and 18 stolen bases. Solid performance for a second-round pick.

NL: Alec Bohm, Phillies

He recorded the same number of doubles as he did in 2023 and also ranked fourth in RBIs.

Alec Bohm has already tied the 2023 doubles total record. USA Today Sports

catcher

AL: Logan O’Hoppe, Angels

Among qualified catchers, he ranks fourth in runs scored, fifth in batting average and on-base percentage, sixth in hits and home runs, and ninth in RBIs. He is also second in OPS and slugging percentage.

NL: Patrick Bailey, Giants

Despite his ADP of 324.75, he’s been solid and consistent – ​​not spectacular, but consistent.

Patrick Bailey has been a consistent performer for the Giants this season. Getty Images

outfield

AL: Aaron Judge, Yankees

The first half MVP of Roth Rage wasn’t a top 3 pick, so it’s a bargain.

AL: Brent Rooker, A’s

Despite the second-worst strikeout rate in the league, he batted .279 with 18 home runs, 55 RBIs, a top-10 slugging average and a 13th-best OPS. He had some down periods (like a .226 batting average in June) but still posted a better ADP than 258.1.

AL: Jarren Duran, Red Sox

With an ADP of 170.55, he entered the weekend ranked fifth in the majors in stolen bases and hits and 12th in runs scored.

Jarren Duran is one of the best players for the 2024 Red Sox. Getty Images

NL: Jurickson Profar, Padres

To say he hasn’t been on anyone’s radar would be an understatement this year (439.4 ADP), but he’s batting .311 with 14 home runs, 59 RBI, 52 runs scored, five stolen bases and an .891 OPS, 15th best in the majors.

NL: Helio Ramos, Giants

Look at Profar: His ADP was 1,093.6, and he batted .300 with 14 home runs, 45 RBI and a .909 OPS in his first 57 games on his way to being selected to the All-Star team.

NL: Brenton Doyle, Rockies

The late-round pick has cheap power and speed that allows him to attribute most of his .277 batting average to his .346 batting average and .995 OPS at Coors Field.

utility

AL: Gunnar Henderson, Orioles

The MVP candidate, a second- or third-round pick, entered Friday ranked first in runs scored, third in home runs, fourth in OPS, seventh in hits and 12th in RBIs. He also batted .288 with 14 stolen bases.

NL: Marcell Ozuna, Braves

A midseason pick who led the National League in RBIs, second in home runs, third in slugging percentage and OPS, sixth in hits, seventh in batting average and 12th in runs scored.

Starting pitcher

AL: Garrett Crochet, White Sox

He boasts the best strikeout and swinging strikeout rates in the major leagues, ranks in the top 10 in opponents’ average, and is in the top 20 in ERA, walk rate and WHIP. His xERA, FIP and xFIP are almost half a point lower than his actual ERA, showing he’s been unlucky. Not bad for a player with a .323 batting average.

AL: Jack Flaherty, Tigers

They may not have the most wins, but they have the seventh-lowest walk rate, fourth-highest strikeout rate, seventh-highest swinging strikeout rate and a top 20 ERA. After struggling from 2020-2023, they’ve bounced back to their 2019 form.

AL: Seth Lugo, Royals

A former Mets player having success with another team? How strange! He’s likely to regress in the second half of the season, but his second-most wins and second-lowest ERA in the major leagues are impressive. Three times in 19 starts he allowed two or more runs while scoring.

Seth Lugo may regress in his production in the second half of the season, but he has been an impressive start for the Royals in 2024. Getty Images

AL: Tanner Hack, Red Sox

He posted a 2.68 ERA and a .219 batting average, allowing three or more earned runs twice in his first 18 starts.

AL: Luis Gil, Yankees

Despite struggling through three games from June 20-July 3 and posting the worst walk rate in the majors, he already has a .361.3 ADP, is 11th in strikeouts, 22nd in ERA and the worst opponent strikeout rate in the majors.

NL: Paul Skenes, Pirates

Since his promotion, he has posted a 1.90 ERA in 11 starts, allowing two runs or less in nine of those starts. Though he has missed out on two no-hitters, he has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 10 of his 11 starts (with 11 strikeouts recorded twice), making for a dominant performance.

Paul Skenes has been in impressive form for Pirates since being promoted. USA Today Sports

NL: Chris Sale, Braves

He leads the league in wins, ranks in the top five in strikeout rate, strikeout-by-swinging rate and WHIP, and is in the top ten in ERA and opponents’ batting average. He also has the lowest walk rate in the majors, walking just 1.89 batters per nine innings.

NL: Reinaldo Lopez, Braves

He has one of the highest walk rates in the major leagues, but has only started once in the past two seasons, but he performed well in the later rounds and posted the best ERA in the league in the first half of the season.

NL: Rangers-Suarez, Phillies

He’s had a dismal two starts, but has allowed three or more runs just once in his first 16 starts. He ranks third in wins, sixth in ERA, 11th in WHIP, 14th in walk rate, and 20th in opposing pitcher average walk rate.


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NL: Gavin Stone, Dodgers

He was blessed with some good fortune (3.77 xERA, 3.58 FIP, 4.08 xFIP), but whoever drafted him (305.45 ADP) and whoever acquired him probably didn’t expect him to go 9-3 with a 3.26 ERA in the first half of his season.

Closer

AL: Mason Miller, A’s

Not only is his fastball averaging 100.9 mph, the 6’5″ rookie ranks in the top 1% in xBA, xSLG, WOBA, xWOBA, strikeout rate and xERA. He hasn’t had many save opportunities in Oakland, but he still had 15 save opportunities through Friday and opponents were batting .146 against him.

Mason Miller made the most of his opportunity in Oakland. Getty Images

NL: Ryan Helsley, Cardinals

From April 1 to July 5, he was 2-3 with 31 saves in 32 chances, a 2.03 ERA, a .192 batting average and a 16 percent strikeout rate.

big hit

Reese Olson SP, Tigers

In his past five starts, he has a 2.40 ERA and a 31-6 strikeout/walk ratio, including a 3-0 record with a .202 batting average and a 14 percent strikeout rate during that span.

Brenton Doyle, outfielder, Rockies

After hitting .253 this month, he hit .485 with six home runs, 12 RBIs, one stolen base and an OPS of 1.767, raising his batting average to .277.

Brenton Doyle has been performing well since the start of July and has improved his batting average. USA Today Sports

Michael Wacha SP, Royals

He has allowed two or more runs in just one of his past nine starts and has a 5-2 record with a 2.61 ERA, a .204 batting average and 47 strikeouts.

Rowdy Telles, 1B, Pirates

He has at least one hit in 21 of his last 30 games and is batting .351 with seven home runs, 22 RBIs, 16 runs scored and one stolen base for a 1.023 OPS.

A big miss

Carlos Rodon SP, Yankees

Since his last win on June 10, he is 0-5 with a 10.57 ERA, a .350 batting average and 10 walks. He has allowed eight home runs, 36 hits and 27 earned runs in his last 23 innings.

Carlos Rodon is 0-5 with the Yankees since June 10. USA Today Sports

David Fry C/1B/OF, Guardians

He was batting .352 when he last hit a home run on May 31, but in the 30 games since then he has 20 hits in 93 at-bats (.215) with 23 strikeouts and was batting .288 as of Friday.

Taylor Ward, outfielder, Angels

In 14 games last weekend, he batted .173 with no home runs, 17 strikeouts and a .483 OPS.

Ezekiel Tovar, SS, Rockies

He had four hits in his first 40 at-bats this month (.100 batting average), struck out 17 times, had no home runs, one RBI, one run scored, and a .244 OPS.

Ezekiel Tovar had just four hits in his first 40 at-bats in July. USA TODAY Sports via Reuters

Check your swing

– Now, on to the awards for the first half of the season. Tarik Skubal, who already has a career-high 10 wins, won the Cy Young Award. He ranks in the top 10 in strikeout and walk rates, has the second-best ERA and strikeout rate among qualified starting pitchers, has the fifth-lowest opponents batting average, and has the best WHIP in the major leagues.

The least valuable player is Arizona’s Corbin Carroll. Despite ranking in the top 20 in runs scored and leading the NL in triples, he was batting .209 with three homers, 25 RBI and a .296 on-base percentage as of Friday, good for 24th-worst in the league. In the first half of 2023, he was batting .289 with 18 homers, 48 ​​RBI, 26 stolen bases and a .366 on-base percentage, which is unexpected for a top-five pick.

– Rookie of the Year: Paul Skenes. That’s it. The end.

– The anti-Cy Young Award goes to Kevin Gausman. The fifth-best starting pitcher drafted has allowed three or more earned runs in six of his first 19 starts and enters the day with a 4.50 ERA. His strikeout and whiff rates are his lowest since 2018.

Blue Jays pitcher Kevin Gausman was named the anti-Cy Young Award winner for the first half of the season. USA Today Sports

This week’s team name

Lece’s Works

Posted by Joe Carolla

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