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Forex Today: US Dollar stays strong amid Middle East tensions before RBA and US data

US Dollar Index climbs close to 98.00 as Fed hints at tighter policy

Here’s what you need to know on Tuesday, May 5th.

The dollar index (DXY) is holding steady around 98.40. This strength seems to stem from safe-haven demand, particularly as tensions escalate in the Middle East. There are reports claiming Iran attacked a US warship, even though the US has denied these accusations. Such events are contributing to market unease, which, in turn, is bolstering the dollar.

USD price today

Below is a snapshot of how the US dollar (USD) is performing against other major currencies today, with the USD leading against the Australian dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.19% 0.30% 0.02% 0.16% 0.42% 0.41% 0.22%
EUR -0.19% 0.06% -0.17% -0.03% 0.23% 0.21% 0.01%
GBP -0.30% -0.06% -0.26% -0.10% 0.16% 0.12% -0.04%
JPY -0.02% 0.17% 0.26% 0.11% 0.34% 0.34% 0.14%
CAD -0.16% 0.03% 0.10% -0.11% 0.24% 0.22% 0.05%
AUD -0.42% -0.23% -0.16% -0.34% -0.24% -0.04% -0.20%
NZD -0.41% -0.21% -0.12% -0.34% -0.22% 0.04% -0.18%
CHF -0.22% -0.01% 0.04% -0.14% -0.05% 0.20% 0.18%

The heat map illustrates percentage shifts among major currencies. Selecting USD from the left column and moving to JPY horizontally, for example, reveals the USD/JPY percentage change.

Currently, EUR/USD is struggling at the 1.700 mark, finding it tough to pick up pace amidst a strengthening dollar in a cautious market climate.

GBP/USD is facing downward pressure at around 1.3540, as traders remain wary and reluctant to make bold moves before important global events.

USD/JPY has nudged up slightly to about 157.10, bolstered by the safe-haven flows into the dollar, while the Japanese Yen retains some resilience due to its own safe-haven status.

With the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) set to announce its monetary policy, AUD/USD has dipped to approximately 0.7170. There’s a general expectation of a 25 basis point rate hike, bringing the Official Cash Rate (OCR) to 4.35%. While expectations of tightening support the Australian dollar, the geopolitical tension and a strong US dollar are keeping any gains in check.

WTI crude oil prices are trending upward, hovering close to $105.00 per barrel. This increase can be attributed to ongoing concerns about supply disruptions in the Middle East and heightened inflation worries, both of which are leaning into a commodity-driven narrative.

As for gold, prices have dipped towards $4,524, as shifts in safe-haven demand rise amid geopolitical tensions, prompting investors to seek shelter from increasing risks in the global landscape.

Here’s what’s next on the docket:

Tuesday, May 5th:

  • Reserve Bank of Australia interest rate decisions
  • Australian RBA Monetary Policy Statement
  • Australian RBA Interest Rate Statement
  • China Consumer Price Index April month-on-month change
  • US S&P PMIS April
  • US ISM Service PMIS
  • US JOLTS Jobs March
  • U.S. new home sales February and March month-over-month
  • New Zealand employment data

Wednesday, May 6th:

  • China Caixin Services PMI April
  • Germany, France, Italy, Eurozone HCOB Services PMI April
  • Eurozone Producer Price Index March month-on-year change
  • US ADP Employment Changes April
  • Canadian Ivy PMI April
  • Japanese worker cash income March year-on-year change
  • Minutes of the Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Meeting

Thursday, May 7th:

  • Australian trade balance
  • German factory orders March month-on-year change
  • Eurozone retail sales March month-on-year change
  • U.S. Challenger headcount reductions
  • Number of new unemployment insurance claims in the US
  • US non-agricultural productivity Q1 pre-rel
  • US unit labor costs Q1 ago

Friday, May 8th:

  • German industrial production March month-on-year change
  • Eurozone trade balance March
  • Canadian employment data
  • US NFP Report
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