Gold Futures Experience Weekend Decline After Major Weekly Gain
Gold futures dropped on Friday, yet managed to achieve their largest weekly increase since 2020, creating quite a buzz. The precious metal peaked at over $4,380 earlier in the day before dipping more than 1%, settling around $4,260.
Kyle Rodda, a senior analyst from Capital.com, noted in a report on Thursday that gold prices surged by 7% in the past week, attributing this to a “perfect storm” for the yellow metal.
Factors contributing to this surge include escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and China, anticipations of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in the coming week, and credit issues stemming from crises faced by local banks.
“Gold is sending an ominous message about the future,” Rodda stated, suggesting it may indicate significant geopolitical problems ahead or a potentially overheated global economy. There’s also the possibility of over-speculation in the gold market, which might correct itself eventually.
Since the beginning of the year, gold futures have risen nearly 59%, driven by strong central bank purchases, a weakening dollar, and interest rate reductions, which make owning bullion increasingly attractive.
Investment in gold-backed ETFs surged to unprecedented levels last quarter. Research from BofA Fund Managers released earlier this week revealed that gold trading dominated in October, surpassing the performance of the ‘Long Magnificent Seven’ stocks.
When asked about their gold allocations, 39% of fund managers reported having close to 0%, while 19% allocated about 2% and 16% set aside 4% for gold.
BofA analysts reiterated their recommendation to buy gold on Thursday evening, predicting it could peak at $6,000 an ounce by mid-2026.
Meanwhile, Wall Street is boosting its forecasts for gold prices. Goldman Sachs now anticipates gold will reach $4,900 per ounce by the end of next year, up from its previous estimate of $4,300.
Additionally, a JP Morgan analyst noted that the yellow metal might hit $6,000 per ounce by 2029.
