Jen O’Malley Dillon, campaign chair for Vice President Kamala Harris, released a memo Wednesday asserting that Harris has “multiple paths to winning 270 electoral votes,” but did not offer a specific path to that number.
The four-page memo arbitrarily culls numbers from various polls to assert that Harris “will win.” Date Now, back in 2022, he is heavily promoting abortion and Jan. 6 as key campaign issues. This comes just days after Democrats successfully launched a behind-the-scenes pressure campaign to knock President Joe Biden out of the running for the top spot, out of fear that it would not only cost him the presidency but also endanger lower-ranking Democratic candidates.
According to the document: POLITICO First reported, On the first page, O’Malley Dillon writes:
With a popular message, a strong record on the issues that matter most to swing voters, multiple paths to the 270 electoral votes, and unprecedented enthusiasm, the Vice President is in a strong position to challenge Donald Trump and win within 104 days.
In the next three pages, she doesn’t lay out any specific “pathways” to victory, but on page three she vaguely lists typical battleground states in a general election and how those states offer “multiple paths” to victory.
We remain focused on the Blue Wall states of Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, as well as the Sun Belt states of North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, where the Vice President’s advantages with young, black and Latino voters will be critical to multiple paths to the 270 electoral votes.
Moreover, O’Malley Dillon highlights poll numbers that favor Harris while hiding numbers in those same polls that show Harris is in big trouble. For example, in the first poll: Quote The memo was accompanied by a Quinnipiac University poll showing former President Donald Trump leading Harris among registered voters, 49 percent to 47 percent.
Harris’ campaign used the polls to boost her overall approval rating and her favorability rating among women, while burying top lines showing Trump’s overall advantage and hiding the fact that he is beating Harris among younger voters.
A Quinnipiac University poll gives Trump a comfortable lead among voters ages 18 to 34, 58 percent to 39 percent, and a 10 percentage point lead among those ages 35 to 49.
🇺🇲 2024 General Election: Quinnipiac
Trump: 49%
Harris: 47%Independent
Trump: 55%
Harris: 41%#19 (2.8/3.0) | July 19th-21st | 1,257 RV https://t.co/z9PKpHAyk9 pic.twitter.com/wPoZ5A7XmK
— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) July 22, 2024
However, the Harris campaign does not cite this poll in the “Young Voters” subheading that immediately follows the “Women Voters” subheading. Instead, the campaign cites a Yahoo! News/YouGov poll. show The results were completely different from the Quinnipiac University poll, which found Harris holding a 25-point lead among voters aged 18 to 29.
📊 National Poll: Yahoo/YouGov
Harris: 46% [+1]
Trump: 46% [-1][+/- change vs July 1]
——
Trump: 43%
Harris: 41%
RFK Jr.: 5%
Other: 4%
—
General Ballot
Democratization: 45%
Republican: 42%
—
Trump: 46%
Newsom: 40%
⬜ Undecided: 8%
.
Trump: 46%
Whitmer: 41%
⬜… pic.twitter.com/rnEzr7VI3B— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) July 23, 2024
Moreover, in terms of issues, O’Malley Dillon has touted abortion and January 6th as the main issues in his campaign, leaving out other issues such as inflation, the economy, the southern border, immigration, crime, and national security.
Indeed, the memo cites abortion polls conducted nearly two years ago ahead of the midterm elections and argues that abortion will be a top issue for voters in 2024.
“Voters identified reproductive rights as the top issue affecting their vote in the 2022 midterm elections,” O’Malley Dillon writes. “In CNN’s 2022 pre-election poll, nearly three-quarters of voters said abortion was very important to their vote, and a majority of voters said abortion was extremely important.”
