Vice President Harris continues to turn the tide in the 2024 presidential election after President Biden dropped out last month, leading or tied with former President Trump in six of seven battleground states, according to a new poll.
of New Research According to the Cook Political Report’s Swing States Project, Harris leads Trump by one point in the battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. In seven battleground states, Harris has 48% support to Trump’s 47%, with 5% of respondents saying they are undecided or will not vote.
Polls have shown that Harris has caught up with Trump since our last swing states project. investigation The survey was conducted in May, when President Biden was considered the presumptive Democratic nominee for the White House.
The poll found that Harris currently leads Trump by small margins in five of the battleground states, and is tied in Georgia. Trump’s only lead is in Nevada, where Harris has closed her lead over Trump by six points since the last poll in May.
In head-to-head battles, Ms Harris leads Mr Trump by 3 points in Michigan and Wisconsin. When polls were last conducted in May, Mr Trump led Mr Biden by 2 points in Michigan and was tied in Wisconsin.
Harris leads Trump by two points in Arizona, where Trump had a one-point lead over Biden in May, she also leads Trump in North Carolina, where Trump had a seven-point lead in May, and she also leads by one point in Pennsylvania, where Trump had a three-point lead over Biden in May, she leads by one point.
The two candidates are tied at 48% in Georgia, where polls showed Trump held a 3-point lead over Biden in May.
When third-party candidates, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., are included, Harris’ lead is even larger, with a four-point lead in Arizona and a five-point lead in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. When other candidates are included in the poll, Harris holds a two-point lead overall in seven states, with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. receiving five percent support.
Harris has been gaining momentum in national and battleground state polls since she launched her campaign last month after Biden dropped out of the race. She has a 1.4 percentage point lead over Trump, based on 114 polls, according to The Hill/Decision Desk national polling average.
The Cook study was conducted Of 2,867 voters The survey, conducted July 26-Aug. 2 in seven battleground states, has a margin of error of plus or minus 1.83 percentage points.
The Arizona poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.7 percentage points. The Pennsylvania poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.8 percentage points. The Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Wisconsin polls each have a margin of error of plus or minus 4.9 percentage points.
