it will be there I never have Become another Tom Brady. At least, that’s what we thought.I came believing that it would happen. I never have This is another Joe Montana who came along following the claims that there would be one. I never have Go all the way back in football history and become another Johnny Unitas.
it was always doomed who He will eventually take on Brady’s mantle, but the fact it’s happening this quickly is a big surprise. Now, on the precipice of Super Bowl XV, we’re staring at the rapidly approaching reality that Patrick Mahomes may already be trying to cement himself in the conversation.
Mahomes will earn his third Super Bowl ring with the win over the 49ers. That would improve his Super Bowl record to 3-1, with his only loss in 2021 coming at the hands of Brady and the Buccaneers. He may not have even half as many rings as the GOAT, but he has a very clear winning streak. There’s no doubt he’s aiming for legend status.
Mahomes vs. Brady by the numbers
When we begin this comparison, we can’t just look at career stats, but instead try to predict when Mahomes will pass some key milestones of Tom Brady. It’s impossible to predict the future, but it’s safe to assume that Mahomes, 28, will play another 10 years barring a major injury. He could decide to retire earlier than that, or he could play longer, but 10 years is a solid place to be.
ring
It’s not a fair metric, but ultimately Super Bowl rings are a way to evaluate a quarterback’s accomplishments. Tom Brady has been a full-time starter for 22 years, while Mahomes has started six times. Assuming Mahomes can maintain the same winning percentage, winning three rings in six years would put him on pace to win eight Super Bowl rings.
When Tom Brady finished his sixth season as the Patriots’ starter, the team had three rings to his name. He then had to wait 10 years to win No. 4 at the age of 37.
The idea that Mahomes can keep winning like he is now is very difficult to predict. Unlike Brady, who has grown up alongside Bill Belichick for most of his career, Mahomes will certainly have to adjust to Andy Reid’s retirement before his playing days are over. Unless Kansas City has a great succession plan, this could seriously disrupt his chances of winning.
raw statistics
This is where Mahomes blew Brady out of the water. I know this is a bit of an unfair comparison considering how much the league has valued the pass in recent years, but many of today’s quarterback-friendly rules are a direct influence of Brady’s play. So this is something of a problem of Brady’s own making.
If you extrapolate Mahomes to Brady’s career length, it looks like this:
passing yard
Brady: 89,214
Mahomes: 99,194
Pass TD
Brady: 649
Mahomes: 764
intercept
Brady: 212
Mahomes: 220
Completion rate
Brady: 64.3
Mahomes: 66.5
Total victory record
Brady: 251-82
Mahomes: 258-75
Individual award
These play an important role in evaluating a player compared to players from that era. When it comes to Tom Brady, he has been the single most dominant presence in football for almost 30 years. Outside of the Super Bowl ring, there are some important metrics you can use to find out where a quarterback ranked during his time.
Once again, extrapolate Mahomes’ pace to Brady’s career length to get an idea of where they stand.
Pro Bowl berth
Brady: 15
Mahomes: 21
all pro team
Brady: 6
Mahomes: 10
AP MVP
Brady: 3
Mahomes: 7
Offensive Player of the Year
Brady: 2
Mahomes: 3
super bowl mvp
Brady: 5
Mahomes: 7
It may seem obvious, but there’s a big “but” here.
Performance extrapolation is a very flawed process because it assumes that the metric is achievable in the first place. What Tom Brady has done throughout his career is impossible to fathom as long as he has done it.
This man continued to play elite NFL football at the sport’s most difficult position, season after season, for 23 years. Even at age 45, Brady was still throwing for over 4,500 yards, something no one had ever accomplished before. Therefore, it would be very disingenuous to simply paint a picture of their careers and say they are equal.
There’s also the issue of playstyle. Mahomes’ approach to the quarterback position naturally requires a bigger arm, which will diminish over time. It remains to be seen whether he, like Brady, will be able to adapt to the decline in his arm strength in his 30s. It’s possible, but it’s also not a given.
However, there is no doubt that Mahomes is on track to take over as GOAT.
The next few years will be important, but Mahomes could easily be on pace to continue his dominance if he wins three Super Bowl rings in six years. For much of Brady’s career, he was in a one-two battle with Peyton Manning for the title of “Greatest QB,” which he ultimately won.
When it comes to Patrick Mahomes, there is no comparison. He ranks first every year and sits alone in the “S tier”. It’s a starterless conversation until someone shows he’s even closer to his abilities.
It may be a little early to crown Mahomes the new GOAT, but if he continues to produce over the next five to seven years and win more rings in the process, he’s on pace to solidify his status. Masu.
