Iranian regime attempted assassination but failed President-elect Donald Trump. Apparently third time isn't the charm. The next administration will have a chance to avenge the attack on President Trump's life while accelerating a major reorganization of the Middle East.
For the past 45 years, the Islamic Republic of Iran has brought fear and instability to the region, as well as to its own people. Its proxies, particularly Hamas, Hezbollah, the Houthis, and Kataib Hezbollah, export the regime's radical perversion of Shiite Islam and help it establish regional hegemony. Tehran maintains plausible deniability.
In the 1980s, the newly formed Islamic Republic forged strong ties with Syrian President Hafez al-Assad, father of current Damascus butcher Bashar al-Assad. The Shiite militant group Hezbollah has established a shadow state in Lebanon. The only obstacle in Iran's path to the Mediterranean was Iraq.
After Saddam Hussein was ousted in 2003 and the Baathist regime collapsed, Iran supported Shiite terrorist groups vying to fill the power vacuum. Iran has connected proxy networks and established a corridor across the Levant known as the “Shia Crescent.” In 2014, the Houthis occupied Yemen, extending Iranian influence to the tip of the Arabian Peninsula.
President Obama and President Biden understood that the Middle East is a volatile region. But instead of focusing on the Iranian regime and its proxies, they consistently found fault with Israel. This reached its climax during the Obama administration. allow The UN Security Council condemns Israeli settlements, a major departure from American policy. The Biden administration went a step further and sanctioned Israeli settlers.
The first Trump administration opposed the traditional view that the path to peace was through the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Instead, it recognized the reality that Arab states and Israel are working together against the Iranian threat. of Abraham Accords It formalized that reality and provided the basis for additional transactions along economic, security, energy and technology sectors.
President Trump moves the US embassy to Jerusalem recognized This city is the capital of Israel, Recognizes Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights. And despite such unconventional moves, Arab countries did not hesitate to reach peace agreements with Israel.
This new approach yielded two lessons. First, Israel has never been an obstacle to peace. Second, Sunni Arab states value the Iranian threat more than the Palestinians.
President-elect Donald Trump has four more years to further develop this reorganization of the Middle East and change the course of world history.
His second administration can start by attacking the snake's head. He intends to reimpose a maximum pressure campaign on Iran. Maximum pressure campaign against Iran. The regime could also impose secondary sanctions against oil importing countries, primarily China, which would cut off the funding that allows the regime to survive. Closing the Strait of Hormuz, through which much of its oil passes, would weaken the Iranian regime.
President Trump may target the Iranian regime's aerospace forces. The unit is “responsible for the deployment of unmanned aerial vehicles, cruise missiles, ballistic missiles, air defense systems, and radar technology.” According to To ALMA Research and Education Center. The regime could give Israel breathing room to remove its leaders, including commander Amir Ali Hajizadeh. First Deputy Commander Majid Mousavi. and Fereydoun Mohammadi Sagay, deputy commander of operations.
The Trump administration could supply Israel with additional munitions and systems needed to dismantle Iran's military infrastructure. This includes joint direct attack munitions, small diameter bombs, spice guidance kits, and 155mm howitzer shells. This will help expedite the delivery of Boeing's KC-46 tanker. Israel expects to receive from 2025. These planes can be refueled mid-flight. need The aim is to carry out long-term, long-range attacks against Iranian facilities.
The new government could help create the cultural conditions for bottom-up change in Iranian politics. This change must be organic, but the Iranian people need support from outside. An intense media campaign inside Iran, led by Voice of America, could expose the regime's abuses, including: recent disappearances female student Ahou Daryaei. Keep the teleprompter running.
The Iranian regime's recent attempt on President Trump's life is just another reminder that the root of instability is Iran, not Israel. However, while the Iranian government was unable to hit one bird with one stone, the second Trump administration will be able to hit three birds with one stone. It could dismantle the Islamic regime in Tehran, avenge the Iranian plot to kill Trump and other Americans, and reshape regional power relations in favor of Western allies.
Obama and Biden believed there would be peace in Jerusalem. The next government has four years to abandon that paradigm and bring about real stability. The ever-desired “lasting peace” will pass through Tehran.
Gabriel Diamond is a research fellow at Yorktown Research Institute.
