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Is Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) A Buy, Hold, Or Sell in 2025? – Yahoo Finance

We recently published a list 12 best stocks to invest in over the next 3 months. In this article, we'll take a look at how Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL) stands compared to other stocks that are great to invest in over the next three months.

On November 13, Morgan Stanley released an analysis highlighting potential risks to the “Trump trade,” which refers to market optimism following Donald Trump's decisive victory in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. did.

Investors poured money into small-cap stocks, financial stocks and cryptocurrencies in hopes of lower taxes and less regulation. However, bond markets expressed caution, and 10-year Treasury yields soared. Concerns about unfunded tax cuts and ballooning U.S. debt weighed on bond market sentiment, while a strong dollar weighed on emerging market currencies.

Despite current market momentum, the bank's Global Investment Committee advises investors to approach these trends with caution as 2025 approaches. They identify three main risks to the sustainability of this rise.

First, stock valuations are extremely difficult. The report points out that rising interest rates could increase borrowing costs and put pressure on companies' profitability. Inflation-adjusted yields on the 10-year Treasury note have risen to about 2%, which has historically been associated with lower price-to-earnings ratios. Currently, this multiple is 23x, well above historical norms.

Second, corporate earnings targets for 2025 are ambitious and may be difficult to achieve. Forecasts call for earnings growth of 15%, but this seems too optimistic given the current single-digit earnings growth and weak productivity growth. While some sectors, such as traditional energy and financials, may benefit from regulatory clarity under President Trump's leadership, headwinds such as higher borrowing costs and a stronger dollar may weigh on multinationals. It can be a challenge. Additionally, potential tariffs could increase production costs and put additional pressure on manufacturers.

Finally, policy timing poses significant risks. The order of the Trump administration's policies will be important. Measures such as deregulation and tax cuts may stimulate growth, while inflationary policies such as tariffs and immigration restrictions may offset these benefits. Such actions could raise consumer prices, slow labor force growth, and disrupt key industries such as agribusiness and services.

Given these risks, the bank advises investors to consider locking in profits in high-performing stocks and selling unperforming stocks to offset tax liabilities. They see potential opportunities in emerging markets where large-cap, mid-cap growth and currency volatility create attractive entry points.

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