The Democratic Party's advantage with Latino voters has fallen to its lowest level in four presidential election cycles under Vice President Kamala Harris, the latest poll finds.
According to the latest reports, Harris maintains a 14-point lead over President Donald Trump in a key voting demographic (54% to 40%), with 6% of Latino voters undecided. NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC National Pollsampled Latino registered voters.
The vice president's modest performance is a far cry from the Democratic Party's performance with Latino voters in recent elections.
Among Latino voters, Democrats enjoyed a 33-point lead in the 2020 presidential election, a 38-point lead in 2016 and a 44-point lead in 2012, according to NBC exit poll data.
A mix of polls shows Trump gaining support among Latino voters, who represent the largest racial or ethnic minority in the United States.
According to the poll, Latino voters favor Democrats over Republicans controlling Congress by a 54% to 42% margin. This likewise represents a decline compared to past election cycles.
On certain issues, Latinos supported Ms. Harris, 59. 39 points for treating immigrants humanely, 34 points for abortion, 28 points for having the right temperament, 21 points for expressing change, and 12 points for steering the country in the right direction.
They supported President Trump, 78, by 4 points on the economy, 9 points on tackling inflation and 13 points on tackling border issues.
A significant 62% of Latino voters feel that immigration helps more than it hurts, compared to 35% who disagree. The 35% is the highest number of Latino voters who feel that way in 20 years, according to the poll.
Only 50% of voters on a broad scale feel that immigration helps more than it hurts, while 43% disagree. This is a change from 2016, when voters said they felt that way, by a 54% to 35% margin.
Among the key voting groups that appear to be driving Trump's rise are Latino men, who are split evenly between Republicans and Democrats at 47% each. This is a clear change from 2020, when Latino men supported Democrats by 54% to 34%.
Latina women also shifted in Trump's direction, but still preferred Democrats over Republicans, 60% to 34%. For context, in 2020, Latinx women were skewed 71% Democratic and 20% Republican.
Polls generally showed warning signs for Biden among minority voters before Harris took over the top job in July.
Harris has argued that she needs to win the votes of various minority groups and should not take them for granted.
When asked about Trump's interests with black men at a National Association of Black Journalists event earlier this month, Harris told a panel: “Don't act on the assumption that black men are in everyone's pocket. I think that's very important.”
“We're trying to get votes.”
Mr. Trump and Ms. Harris are scheduled to appear in dueling town halls with Univision, the U.S. Spanish-language network, later this month in an effort to curry favor with Hispanic and Latino voters.
Mr. Trump will participate in the Univision town hall from Miami on October 8th, and Ms. Harris will do the same from Las Vegas on October 10th.
The NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC Latino Survey sampled 1,000 registered Latino voters from Sept. 16 to 23 and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
In the most recent election, Harris had a two-point lead over Trump nationally. real clear politics Aggregation of votes for multiple candidates. She also participates in Notes Up RCP electoral college map.
