It’s the penultimate matchweek of the 2023-24 Premier League season and there’s still plenty of drama to resolve.
Arsenal go into the weekend with a one-point lead over leaders Manchester City, but Cityzens are -360 favorites to win their fourth straight title with a game remaining against the Gunners.
The relegation battle remains, with Burnley (24 points), Luton Town (26 points) and Nottingham Forest (29 points) scrapping for the last Premier League spot next season. .
Burnley and Forest meet on the final day of the campaign, so if the Clarets win this weekend and Forest lose, there could be quite the spectacle next weekend.
Luton Town vs West Ham predictionschoose
(Saturday 10 a.m. ET)
This game can look more like a basketball game than a high-stakes soccer game, with teams racing up and down the field for scoring opportunities.
Early on in the season, it became clear that Luton Town’s defensive flaws meant they needed to score to stay safe, so the Hatters essentially put themselves on alert and saw their best chance to do it. We adopted a play style that gives .
And although Luton were able to leave a decent attacking record (compared to expectations), their goal difference is -29 (GF: 49, GA: 78), and their expected goal difference is -33.6.
These numbers are ugly, but the good news is they are taking on a West Ham defense that is as leaky as they have been this season.
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The Hammers have conceded 70 goals (17th) and conceded 68.9xG (18th) this season, but have shown no signs of improving over the long term, which is understandable given they have nothing to play for, but manager David Moyes will leave the club at the end of the season.
West Ham have already won, so I will be rooting for Luton Town in this must-win game.
Bet: Luton Town +275 (DraftKings)
