March Madness is here and there is also a Groke that will help you fill out the brackets.
If you're reading this, the bracket is very likely to expire soon and what kind of upset is happening.
A Google search shows that the odds for the perfect bracket are about 1 to 147.5. Quintilion. So perhaps even AI could not do that.
But with the knowledge it possesses, I asked Grok The most likely first round confusion gave us a decent list. Grok listed three No. 12 seeds, pairs of 11 and 13, as well as 14 seeds to watch out for.
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The “Match Madness” logo during the first four practices at the UD Arena. (Rick Osentoski/Imagn Images)
Grok has listed five possible scenarios and three other “candidates. Here.
Groke's honorable mention
No. 14 Troy surpasses No. 3 Kentucky
Kentucky went on to Elite 8 as the second seed in 2022 and fell to St. Peter No. 15.
Troy has a pretty decent defense, ranking 65th and 27th in takeout allowed per game against injured Wildcats teams.
No. 11 Utah surpasses UCLA
Glock points to Utah's pace as the Bruins' perpetrator. Utah ranks 52nd in offense and 361st in defense.
No. 4 or above 13 high points
The boilermaker has previously gone this path, taking first place in Fairy Dickinson, 16th place, two years ago. Apparently, High Points is not an ideal matchup. Because it wins 14 straight games and ranks 7th in true shooting rates.
The High Point Panthers will take photos during the first round of practice sessions at the Amica Mutual Pavilion. (Gregory Fisher/Image Image)
Grok's predictions
No. 11 Drake surpasses No. 6 Missouri
Groke says this is “a major upset candidate due to Drake's consistency and potential vulnerability in Missouri.” A good point. Drake is 30-3, with the 59.7 points allowed per game ranking second in the nation after only the second Houston. Missouri averages 73.8 points allowed, and is in the middle of the pack with free throw shots.
Alabama won the insanity of March and started with Mary who had miraculous hug in the last few seconds to move forward
However, the Tigers shot 3-37.0%, and the infamous Kenpom rating doesn't like Drake, the 11th seed (58th). Mizzou ranks 15th in Kenpom. That means they're getting bad at brackets (and Drake is badly overranked).
No. 12 UC San Diego No. 5 Michigan
According to Grok, this is a dream matchup for the 12th seed. Glock pointed out that UC San Diego ranks sixth in forced turnovers and fourth in tipping the ball. Of the 364 schools, Michigan ranked 340th in turnovers. Michigan also ranks 195th in a 3-point percentage (33.4), while UCSD ranks 57th (36.5%).
As for Kenpom, Michigan is ranked 25th and UCSDS is only 13 spots low. Michigan is overrated, while San Diego, California is underranked.
California Golden Bears guard Jovan Blackshire will dribble on December 21, 2024 during a match against the San Diego Aztecs at the SAP Center in San Jose, California with a chip-off. (Trinity Machan/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
12 Freedoms in Oregon
Glock pointed out the true shooting rate of Liberty. This ranks sixth in the country. Liberty ranks fifth with a 3-point percentage against Oregon's 171st. Liberty ranks 348th in free throws, while Oregon ranks 49th.
In the first round, 12 seeds are 55-101, but at least one No. 12 seeds have won 64 games in 33 of the past 39 tournaments.
No. 13 Yale No. 4 Texas A&M
Now the fun begins. This may not be the biggest surprise as at least the number 13 seed has reached 32 rounds in 28 of the last 39 tournaments.
Yale upset No. 4 Auburn last year, with the Aggies 2-5 in the last seven games. So maybe we could have seen history repeat itself. Yale also ranks 23rd in the country with 81.4 points per game. Aggies ranks 317th in effective field goal percentage.
Yale Bulldog player James Jones will take photos of the Championship Trophy and March Madness Ticket after the Ivy League Tournament Championship Game against Cornell Big Red on March 16, 2025. (Erica Denhoff/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
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Colorado No. 12 than Memphis
Before we get into Grok's analysis, Colorado actually ranks ahead of Memphis in Kenpom's ratings, and Vegas actually has a “loser” as a 2.5-point favorite.
Grok points out Memphis has some injury concerns and some bad losses against the Quad three teams this season.
