In Game 1 of the National League Wild Card Series against the Mets, it was the Milwaukee Brewers who looked unrested even though they had an extra day to prepare.
Meanwhile, the Mets showed no signs of an emotional hangover a day after playing a playoff-clinching doubleheader against the Braves.
The line for Wednesday's second game started as a pick-em. There has been little movement towards Milwaukee since then, but the market probably doesn't value the Brewers enough with the season so close.
The handle and sharp bucks lean heavily in the Brewers' direction.
Mets vs. Brewers odds
| team | money line | run line | over/under |
|---|---|---|---|
| mets | -110 | -1.5 (+150) | o7.5 (-118) |
| brewer | -110 | +1.5 (-180) | u7.5 (-102) |
Mets vs. Brewers predictions
(7:38 p.m., ESPN)
Milwaukee gave up a two-run lead in Game 1 on Tuesday without hitting a sacrifice home run, which is the main reason the Mets will play in October.
Yes, the Mets were disciplined by getting walks at the plate and running the offense on the bases.
But this shouldn't be viewed as a sustainable formula for a Milwaukee staff that can consistently throw strikes (7th overall zone percentage) and keep hits down (4th lowest BABIP).
Sean Manaea will start Game 2 for the Mets, while Frankie Montas will start for Milwaukee. This is the same pitching battle as last Friday, when Manaea hit a grand slam against Rhys Hoskins in the first inning.
That explosion came off his main pitch sinker, but Manaea has taken advantage of the problem with much of his arsenal by limiting hard contact when the pitch is left hanging over the plate. Masu.
The Brewers aren't the most dangerous contact team, but the matchup of right-handed pitchers and left-handed pitchers offers many benefits to all four of the Brewers' top power hitters.
Hoskins, Willie Adames, William Contreras and Jackson Ciorio are all right-handed hitters for the club with 20 or more home runs.
Although he has been moving in the right direction since arriving in Milwaukee at the trade deadline, Montas is not the same pitcher he was before.
However, the Brewers managed to save key relief pitchers for Game 2, including Jared Koenig, setup man Trevor Megill and closer Devin Williams.
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Mets vs. Brewers picks
Milwaukee finished 2024 as the second-best offensive swing team in baseball behind the Yankees.
While the bullpen fixes Tuesday's sloppy singles game, look for hitters to make earlier contact with Manaea.
choose: Brewers money line (-110, DraftKings)
Why trust New York Post Betting?
Sean Trepedi is handicapped by the NFL, NHL, MLB and college football for the New York Post. He primarily focuses on picks that reflect market value while tracking trends to reduce risk.
