Former Representative Mike Rogers appears to be the leading Republican contender for the Michigan Senate, with a significant advantage over progressive Abdul El-Sayed, and he seems to be in a tight race with Rep. Haley Stevens (D-Mich.), based on a recent poll released shortly before the Senate primary.
A survey by the Michigan Education Association, conducted by the Glengariff Group, indicates that Rogers holds a 10-point lead over El-Sayed in a hypothetical pairing.
In a direct matchup, Stevens has a slight edge over Rogers, with nearly 46% support among Democratic House members and 45% among Michigan Republicans. Interestingly, about 9% of respondents remain undecided.
Moreover, a statewide poll of likely voters reported a margin of error of four points, suggesting an effective tie between Stevens and Rogers in a potential Senate battle.
The Glengariff Group noted, “This race is a fight,” highlighting the competitive nature of the election.
The polling occurred through live phone interviews from July 22-24 and was made public on Tuesday, just a week before the primary.
Since Rogers does not face a primary challenger, he is anticipated to compete against either El-Sayed or Stevens, who are currently seeking the Democratic Senate nomination, in the general election slated for November.
Interestingly, the poll revealed that Stevens and Rogers have similar levels of support from independent voters, around 40% and 39%, respectively.
However, Rogers has a substantial 28-point lead over El-Sayed among independents, while Stevens enjoys a 31-point advantage among Black voters over El-Sayed.
Various Democratic leaders, including Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (D), have thrown their support behind Stevens, viewing the 43-year-old congressman as having more appeal in a general election compared to El-Sayed.
On the other hand, El-Sayed has garnered backing from figures such as Senator Bernie Sanders (D-Vermont) and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-New York).
