We’re back for another Wednesday in Major League Baseball Action.
April has come to an end, but cold days continue throughout the country.
Let’s take a look at the three pitchers and the polar bear on the PrizePicks board.
MLB PrizePicks Predictions and Picks
Logan Gilbert Pitcher Strikeout 6.0+
Gilbert has figured out a way to ditch the changeup entirely for a new splitter this season and put away right-handed hitters.
Not striking out righties has been a major issue for him in the past.
That’s a very fair number for Gilbert, with Tuesday’s scheduled start postponed due to a suspected muscle spasm.
If he doesn’t do well, they won’t send him there on Wednesday.
But frankly, he may not need to be 100% against the Phillies, who sit in the bottom third of the league in strikeouts per game.
Gilbert has taken at least five hitters in each start this season.
He set the top speed record last time round in Milwaukee. This shows he beat the Phillies by more than six on Wednesday.
Check the weather forecast before deciding for yourself here. However, rather than interrupting in the middle of the game, it seems to start rather late.
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Bryce Elder Pitcher strikeout 5.0 or higher
Elder was a long-awaited pleasant surprise for Atlanta.
It’s a great matchup against the Marlins, who were absent Tuesday night against Charlie Morton.
Miami has some lucrative bats like Jazz Chisholm, but for the most part the bottom of this line-up is usually clueless.
Dating back to 2022, Elder hit right-handed hitters with a higher clip (25%) than left-handed hitters (16%).
The Marlins are projected to bring in seven right-handed hitters, but five projected starters have a strikeout rate of over 20%.
Elder has struck out five or more hitters in three of his four starts this season.
Michael Wacha 15.5+ pitches
Another game at Wrigley where weather conditions could play a big role in determining many outcomes.
Kevin Roth’s WeatherEdge tool now shows a 49% drop in potential home runs and a 17% drop in pitched ERA (which is good for Wacha).
It’s cold, like the wind is blowing.
Wacha has been in terrible shape on the last two outings, but Wednesday night is too good to miss.
Wacha pitched 18 innings each in his first two outs earlier this month, so I’m happy to support him despite two bad outs in a row.
For what it’s worth, Derek Carty’s THE BAT projection system pencils Wacha out 17.4.
Learn everything you need to know about MLB betting
Pete Alonso 1.5 hits + runs + RBI or more
Former frontrunner Mackenzie Gore hasn’t had a bad season this season, but he’s far from perfect.
He’s done very well against RHBs this season with a short sample size, but he’s been terrible against left-handers.
As for Alonso, who has historically dominated left-handed pitching throughout his career, it doesn’t matter to me.
Pete has owned a .271 ISO and a 44% flyball percentage against LHP since the start of 2022.
Gore primarily throws a fastball, bringing a very high line drive and hard contact percentage on both sides of the plate.
He’s also awakening a tremendous amount of hitters, so I’m sure Alonso will have at least one chance with a runner in front of him.
His control issues have not improved in 2023, putting him in a very tough position against the talented Mets lineup.
