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Mortgage demand plummets again despite drop in interest rates

Despite mortgage interest rates dropping significantly throughout December, the number of home purchase applications, a key indicator, slumped over the holidays.

Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) Index Applying for a mortgage loan New data released Wednesday showed that stocks fell 9.4% in the week ending Dec. 29 compared to two weeks ago.

The data also showed that the average interest rate on popular 30-year loans was 6.76% at year-end. That's down from a peak of 8% in October, but up slightly from the previous week.

“Mortgage rates remained near their lowest levels since mid-2023, as the market continued to digest the impact of slower inflation and a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve,” said Joel Kang, deputy chief economist at MBA. ” he said. “Recent interest rate declines have created optimism in the housing market heading into 2024, but purchase offers have yet to meet that demand.”

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According to a recent report from Realtor.com, the supply of available housing remains down an astonishing 45.1% compared to normal supply before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. . (David Paul Morris/via Bloomberg/Getty Images)

Despite recent interest rate declines, housing demand remained weak. Applications for mortgages to buy homes fell 5% from two weeks ago. The number of applications decreased by 12% compared to the same period last year.

Refinance demand also fell last week, down 18% from the previous two weeks, according to the survey. Compared to the same period last year, refinance applications are up about 15%.

“The recent decline in interest rates has given the housing market an optimistic view toward 2024, but purchase offers have not yet responded,” Prime Minister Suga said. “Refinance applications are still at very low levels, but have increased by 15% compared to a year ago.”

Mortgage interest rates continue to hover near their highest levels since 2000

The housing market, which is sensitive to interest rates, has cooled rapidly in the wake of the financial crisis. federal reserve Aggressive tightening campaign. Policymakers have raised the benchmark federal funds rate 11 times in a row over the past two years to quell stubborn inflation and slow the economy.

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The interest rate-sensitive housing market has cooled rapidly due to the Federal Reserve's aggressive tightening policies. (David Paul Morris/via Bloomberg/Getty Images)

But many economists believe the central bank's interest rate hikes, which have helped bring down painfully high mortgage rates, are over.

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Rising interest rates have not only reduced consumer demand over the past year, but also severely limited inventories. Sellers who locked in low mortgage rates before the pandemic are reluctant to sell as interest rates continue to hover near 20-year highs, leaving eager buyers with few options. .

“While the housing market is hampered by a limited supply of homes for sale, the recent strength in new home construction will continue to help alleviate inventory shortages in the coming months,” Kang said. Ta.

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