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Mortgage rates hold steady but likely to keep dropping as 2024 unfolds: Freddie Mac

Mortgage rates are flat for the start of 2024, but economists predict further declines are in store.

Mortgage rates remained flat to start the new year, but buyers can expect them to fall further into deep 2024, Freddie Mac said.

The average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage for the week ending Jan. 4 was 6.62%, according to Freddie Mac's latest research. Primary mortgage market research. This was a slight increase from the previous week's average of 6.61%. A year ago, the average interest rate on a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage was 6.48%.

The average interest rate on a 15-year mortgage was 5.89%, down from 5.93% last week and up from 5.73% last year.

“From late October to mid-December, 30-year fixed-rate mortgages plummeted by more than 1 percentage point, but since then they have declined as the market digests incoming economic data,” said Sam Cater, chief economist at Freddie Mac. “Interest rates have remained flat.” “Given expectations for Fed rate cuts this year and abatement of inflation pressures, we expect mortgage rates to continue to decline as the year progresses.

“While lower mortgage rates are welcome news, potential homebuyers are still dealing with the dual challenges of low inventory and continued rising home prices,” Carter continued. Ta.

Homebuyers can find the best mortgage rates by researching and comparing options. Visit online marketplaces like Credible to compare interest rates, choose loan terms, and get pre-approved from multiple lenders at once.

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Fed expects interest rate cuts

The Fed could start lowering interest rates as early as the first quarter of 2024. At its December meeting, the central bank said: Announcement of third interest rate suspensionAs a result, the federal funds rate was left unchanged at 5.25% to 5.5%, the highest level in 22 years. But Fed officials have signaled they may start cutting rates later this year, with interest rates expected to fall to 4.6%. Latest economic forecasts This was revealed in the central bank's Summary of Economic Projections (SEP).

“We expect the interest rate environment to decline throughout 2024, with rate traders pricing in a 0.25% reduction in target rates by the end of the first quarter and a further 0.25% to 0.5% reduction in the second quarter. This should help ease some of the interest rates.''The volatility we experienced last year was huge,'' said Victor Kuznetsov, Managing Director of Imperial Fund. “That said, origination will continue to be a challenge as mortgage rates are likely to settle between 5% and 6%, although this is not significantly lower than currently and given current housing fundamentals, It will not significantly change the situation.”

“Housing prices do not seem ready to fall significantly, and we expect the number of construction starts and applications to remain roughly stable throughout the year,” Kuznetsov continued.

If you want to refinance your mortgage to take advantage of current mortgage rates, or are ready to choose the best rate on your new mortgage, visit online marketplaces like Credible to compare rates and Consider getting pre-approved from multiple lenders.

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Homebuyers want lower interest rates

According to a recent Realtor.com report, 12% of prospective buyers say their mortgage rate needs to fall below 6% to make a home affordable. investigation. Furthermore, his 28% of home buyers are waiting for interest rates to fall below his 4% before returning to the housing market.

“Typical mortgage balance interest rates are less than 4%, more than 2.5 percentage points lower than current rates,” Hannah Jones, senior economic research analyst at Realtor.com, said in a statement. She said: “This gap will cause many sellers to wait and see for mortgage rates to fall further.”

Despite lower mortgage rates, pending home sales were flat in November, matching October's record low and down 5.2% compared to last November, the paper said. National Association of Realtors (NAR).

Even if you're looking to become a homeowner, shopping around can help you find the best mortgage rates. Visit Credible to compare options without affecting your credit score.

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