Brooklynnet is technically alive in playoff races given the play-in tournament, but the signs are clear that the franchise is focused on the NBA Draft Lottery.
This is a prime example of how understanding a particular team can provide valuable betting opportunities, with odds makers getting thinner as they keep up with the expanding menu of many sports and prop bets . Knowledge is power, as Thomas Jefferson once created.
Recently acquired D'Angelo Russell has solidified himself into a starting point guard spot. However, coach Jordi Fernandez has established that it appears that Russell's playing time will remain at the 26-minute limit.
Plus, with Cam Thomas still getting injured, Russell often finishes the game with Brooklyn's most shot attempt. So he can drop 20 points on a certain night, but he finished with a 10-point mark in some games. It makes his point props difficult to handicap 13.5.
However, I think his assist prop has strong value. That's why I play under 5.5 with -150 odds. This sports section has a record of 26-14 against the spread (ATS).
First, if Russell is winding up around 15 shot attempts in addition to a few free throws, he's not being given much. And when he finds an open teammate, there are not many reliable shooters or scorers in the net. So he averaged 3.2 assists in his last six games and cashed unders in all six.
Traditional wisdom suggests that Ben Simmons' recent acquisition will give him more ball, but Russell's number of assists didn't increase when Simmons missed the game. Russell has the ability to become a playmaker, but he prioritizes shots and the team is restricting his time on the court.
Are you going to bet on the NBA?
Pick: Dangelo Russel with less than 5.5 assists (-150, betmgm)
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Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor and currently serves as Chief Content Manager for Players, a sports betting media company. Doug has over 20 years of experience in betting space, including spending 11 years as a host, columnist and betting analyst at ESPN. He is also an unusual personality that recorded success. He finished 14th in 2023, 14th in the Las Vegas Super Contest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in the 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K), and also grabbed the headline with a $297,000 victory. In the 2021 NFL Draft.
