NBC News polling analyst Steve Kornacki explores how Vice President Kamala Harris lost a 5-point lead over former President Donald Trump in the race.
In an interview with NBC today Host Savannah Guthrie said Monday that polls have effectively tied Harris and Trump, pushing the race into a dead heat. But just a month ago, a similar poll showed Kamala Harris ahead of Trump not just in electoral terms but also in favorability. Those clues have been virtually wiped out.
“So the top line is that the five-point advantage that Kamala Harris had in the last poll is gone. What's behind that change?” Guthrie asked.
Kornacki said last month's poll had Harris leading Trump 48% to 44%, while this month's poll showed Harris leading Trump 49% to 48%. said. Kornacki also noted that Camara's favorability rating has declined and her negative ratings have increased. Last month, Harris had a positive rating of 48 percent and a negative rating of 45 percent.
“There are some things that have changed in that time, and I think this may be the biggest thing that's happened to Harris,” he said.
“We asked people about the basic image they have of these candidates, is it positive or negative about these candidates? The Trump number has always been somewhere in this area. There was,” he said. “Actually, believe it or not, this is a little high for him.”
“But look at Harris, 43 positive, 49 negative. We did a survey a month ago about the importance of that. She's 48% positive, 45% negative. was negative. She was above water, as they say. It's a complete reversal. Now when you talk about a race this close. “That's a pretty big change,” he added.
“And here's an interesting twist. We also asked people, 'Remember when Donald Trump was president?' Did his policies help or hurt your family? Look at the difference. 44% found it helpful and 31% found it painful. Retrospective opinion of Trump's presidency among voters is probably higher now than when he was president. ”
