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NFL Week 11 odds, picks

Post Sports Gambling Editor/Producer, Digital Sports Editor Matt Ehardt is in his first season of NFL Bettor's Guide.

Green Bay Packers (-5.5) vs. Chicago Bears

The Bears are in turmoil right now, and their owners, the Packers, are coming to town for a bye week treat.

The Packers have won 10 straight against the Bears, with Chicago's last win coming in 2018.

It's hard to believe the Bears are ready to end that winning streak.

Caleb Williams has struggled and some teammates reportedly want him on the bench.

They also plan to install a new offensive coordinator after Shane Waldron appeared to be “too nice.”

Chicago's season feels like it's spiraling out of control, and playing against a rested Jordan Love won't help matters.

Green Bay was able to win on the road with just two field goals, adding another humiliating chapter to a one-sided rivalry.


Jordan Love thinks about passing during the third quarter of the Pacs' loss to the Lions in Week 9. Getty Images

Kansas City Chiefs (+2.5) vs. Buffalo Bills

Bet on a matchup against Patrick Mahomes at your own risk.

Mahomes has been the betting underdog with an 11-3 record since 2018, pulling off five straight upsets, including one against San Francisco earlier this year.

Coincidentally, his last loss as an underdog was to the Bills in 2022.

I like the Chiefs here because they have the ability to thwart Buffalo's rushing attack, ranking third in rushing yards per game.


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The Bills are also dealing with injuries to their pass catchers, which could complicate their efforts if they can't run the ball effectively.

This is also the toughest remaining game on the Chiefs' schedule, meaning if they win they can actually start enjoying a 17-0 season.

last week: 1-1. Steelers (W), Vikings (L)
season: 7-13

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