Post Sports Gambling Editor/Producer, Digital Sports Editor Matt Ehardt is in his first season of NFL Bettor's Guide.
New Orleans Saints (-4.5) vs. New York Giants
The Giants have been unable to cover for seven games in a row and are losing heavily across the board.
They're starting Drew Lock.
Malik Nabors has been mediocre since his electric start.
The defense just lost its best player in Dexter Lawrence. There's not much I like.
The Saints may not be in the best of shape, but they won two in a row before losing by one point to the Rams, and are somehow still in the NFC South despite going 4-8.
This also feels like an “Alvin Kamara got me a dream matchup” week, with the two-way back facing the fourth-worst rushing defense in the NFL.
Don't overthink this.
Cheer for a Giants team that already has its sights set on 2025, and possibly a No. 1 pick, for which this game actually means something.
Atlanta Falcons (+5.5) vs. Minnesota Vikings
They burned us last week, but we're going to beat the Falcons again.
Minnesota tends to play close games, with eight of its 10 wins coming by 10 points or less.
Three of the Vikings' last four wins have been by five points or less, including close wins over the lowly Jaguars and Bears.
The Falcons are in desperate need of a win after last week's disastrous loss, and let's not forget that this is Kirk Cousins' “revenge game.”
Do you want to bet on the NFL?
The Vikings moved on from Cousins, but there's no doubt he wants to show them he still has the power.
Plus, you have to imagine he bounced back from last week's horrible four-interception game.
Minnesota ranks fifth in passing yards per game, which should help keep the game close.
last week: 1-1. Falcons (L), Broncos (W)
season: 10-16.
