It's hard to bet on the spread during the NFL regular season, but it's even harder to bet on the playoffs.
The NFL is the most efficient betting market in the country, with millions of dollars at stake, but with only six games available, it's a tough place to bet on these traditional lines.
In a place like this, you really need to look at the players' props for your bets because their markets are much less efficient and there are thousands of bets that need to be sorted.
When looking for props, don't be afraid to go under every once in a while in a liquid market (think touchdown props for popular players).
Wildcard Saturday player props and predictions
Chargers vs. Texans player props
Joe Mixon 17.5+ rushing attempts (-110, Fanatics). CJ Stroud 12.5+ rushing yards (-114, FanDuel).
Mixon was on the over in eight of his 15 games, but two of the games he went under were blowouts, a job he would never have been able to do.
The game script here is an expected low-scoring, all-out game, which is exactly the setup the Texans have in Mixon to help their efforts.
When it comes to Stroud's rushing yards, he's on the over in eight of 14 games, and fans of my selection love to bet on me running the quarterback in games that really matter. I know that.
The Chargers are allowing the fourth-most yards per carry to opposing quarterbacks, and the Texans' offensive linemen should be under siege for most of the day.
Justin Herbert 19.5+ Rushing Yards (-110, Bet 365) | 40+ (+400, Bet 365)
The Texans pass rush and run defense are elite, which is part of the reason I like JK Dobbins less than 61.5 total rushing yards, but that's not the only reason.
The Texans are rated 31st against quarterback scrambles, and the only team in the NFL worse than the Giants is the Giants, according to FTN's Aaron Schatz.
Herbert ran very late in the season, eclipsing that number in six of 10 games, and had at least three carries in all but one of those games.
It's going to be a sack fest in Houston, and Herbert needs to be ready to be agile on Saturday.
Steelers vs. Ravens player props
Derrick Henry 99.5+ rushing yards (-110, DraftKings)
This weekend's nightmare game for the Steelers is expected to be a blowout loss, much like last year's divisional round matchup between the Texans and Ravens.
Henry has gained over 100 rushing yards in each of his last three games and has put in a tremendous amount of work (at least 20 carries per game) during that time.
The Steelers are only 13th in the NFL in DVOA against points conceded, which is another reason to be bullish on Baltimore.
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Mark Andrews 2+ Touchdowns (+1200, BetMGM)
The Steelers can't protect their tight ends well, and the Ravens don't have Zai Flower. Need I say more?
Lamar Jackson will be throwing more than running Saturday night, so tight end Mark Andrews should be heavily involved in the offense.
The Steelers have allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards to opposing quarterbacks this season, and Jackson threw for three touchdowns when the two sides met in Baltimore in Week 16.
Pittsburgh is allowing 16 percent more fantasy points than average to opposing tight ends, the sixth-worst mark in the NFL.
Why trust New York Post Betting?
Erich Richter is a blue belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu but has a black belt in mixed martial arts gambling. During football season, he proved to be a huge moneymaker for the Post in the player prop market the past two seasons. Always betting on the long shot, the return on investment from 2022 onwards is 30.15%.
