NHL odds, picks, bets for Tuesday

This is not the season that either Lou Lamoriello or Kyle Dubas had planned.

The Islanders and Penguins’ respective team presidents, two of the NHL’s most aggressive hockey executives, have produced very mediocre results as the league’s trade deadline approaches.

Both New York and Pittsburgh have fallen toward the bottom of the Metropolitan Division heading into Tuesday’s puck drop at PPG Paints Arena.

The addition of Erik Karlsson in the offseason clearly wasn’t the turbo boost the Pens expected after missing the playoffs for the first time since 2006.

Sidney Crosby, now 36 years old, still carries the weight of the franchise, but the supporting cast is gone. He leads the club with 55 points, three points behind Jake Guentzel at the top of the trade bait board.

The Isles have now lost three straight and are four points out of the playoffs.

Hiring Patrick Roy on the bench was good for headlines and hopeful inspiration, but putting lipstick on a pig doesn’t make it beautiful.

This team is not built for long-term success, and hasn’t been the case in recent years. The longer it takes management to realize this, the longer the islands will be left in limbo.

Islanders vs. Penguins odds

pack line total money line
Islanders +1.5 (-230) 5.5 or higher (-122) Islanders +112
Penguin -1.5 (+172) Less than 5.5 (+100) Penguin -134
Odds from FanDuel

There are only so many defensive mistakes Ilya Sorokin can cover, and that starts to show in his dangerous .758 save percentage on unblocked shot attempts.

The Isles have the worst penalty kill percentage in the NHL, even if it wasn’t shown yet against the Rangers in Sunday’s Stadium Series overtime thriller. They have the second-highest number of shots and are 26th overall in goal difference.

Penguins star Sidney Crosby. USA TODAY Sports (via Reuters Con)

Against the Rangers, the Islanders outscored their crosstown rivals 41-38, maintaining 5-on-5 play throughout the game, but with less than five minutes left in regulation time, the Islanders scored two multi-goal hits, including a 5-on-3. The lead was taken away.

The Isles cost themselves by missing the time and committing lazy penalties, which ultimately proved to be their undoing.

The Penguins are hungry for leads on the score sheet, but aren’t blessed with puck racks as they take 33 shots per game. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh quietly ranks eighth in expected goal percentage.

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They’re also on par with the Isles in goaltending, boasting a top-four save percentage, with Tristan Jarry and Alex Nedeljkovic posting healthy goal save numbers that exceed expectations.

Pittsburgh has suffered some close losses recently. The Pens are ready to take advantage of a faltering Isles team at home in the midst of this frustration.

Pick: Penguins -1.5 (+172, FanDuel)



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