It will be a relatively quiet weekend in the Premier League this weekend with only four games due to the FA Cup quarter-finals, but there is still plenty of intrigue and gambling value on the other side of the pond.
We start with a six-point relegation game at Kenilworth Road.
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Nottingham Forest vs Luton Town predictions
(11 a.m. ET, NBC Sports)
It’s been a whirlwind season for Luton Town, but this is undoubtedly their biggest game of the season.
The Hatters are playing in English football’s top flight for the first time since 1995-96 and are level with Nottingham Forest in the table, just three points behind them, after struggling in the fifth tier just a decade ago. there is a possibility. They won at home on Saturday.
Luton had to fight hard to have a chance of staying in the Premier League, but the Hatters had enough points to spare while the other newly promoted sides, Sheffield United and Burnley, had points left. They deserve a lot of credit for finding a way to gain and stay ahead. They are almost certain to be back in the Championship at the end of the season.
The way Luton have approached this season is to drop their guard and embrace the chaos that a back-and-forth game of football can bring.
That helped the Hatters achieve big results against Everton, Brighton and Newcastle, although it often hurt the back of the team, such as Wednesday’s 4-3 loss to Bournemouth.
That said, Luton need a willing partner to play their brand of football, and Nottingham Forest are unlikely to fill this position.
Not only are Forest fine with a draw in this place, they prefer to play a more realistic style of football with an emphasis on limiting their opponents’ quality scoring chances.
Forest are ranked fourth in the Premier League for limiting big scoring chances and eighth for expected goals (excluding penalties).
Tricky Trees will turn up at Kenilworth Road looking to shut down Luton’s attack, and there’s a good chance they’ll be able to do that.
Forest’s attack has a lot to improve on, but they have clinical finishers like Taiwo Awoniyi and Chris Wood who can make money even if they don’t have many scoring chances. .
And although Luton’s defense is one of the leakiest in the Premier League, there should be little resistance.
Forest looks like a good value play with a 3-way moneyline.
choose: Nottingham Forest (+140, bet 365)
Tottenham vs Fulham predictions
(1:30 p.m. ET, NBC Sports)
This could be a great watch for neutrals.
Fulham and Tottenham both play high-energy football and their opponents like the same.
So you can expect the ball to be on the carpet for the majority of this contest, with both teams passing the ball and pushing their way to victory.
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That should set up a see-saw battle between the two passionate teams. No wonder the bookmakers set this total at 3.5 goals for him.
Neither team intends to take their foot off the pedal in this match, which should lead to a back-and-forth affair that could see plenty of scoring chances at both ends of the pitch.
Fulham have been excellent this season, but Spurs are far more dangerous in front of goal and have a chance to storm into this competition.
It seems highly unlikely that this game will be a close one, so I’d be aiming to win by multiple goals against Spurs rather than by the prize line.
recommendation: Spurs -1.5 (+250, DraftKings)
