Predicting round one outcomes of the NFL Draft has become a big business.
All major media outlets have at least one expert specializing in mock drafts, with some spending a year adjusting their forecasts.
But the reality is that once the show starts, no one knows what will happen next.
This is why bookmakers are making a light-spinning setting up the market for the NFL Draft.
You can do your best to prepare, but between round 1, you throw everything out of the script, there are always some bombs.
And while no one saw Jaguar trade to second place to draft Travis Hunter’s draft, there was a savvy punter who put pieces together in the Panthers’ incredible move to draft wide receiver Tetairo Amakumillan on the eighth pick.
McMillan was a 13/1 long shot on ESPN bet on Thursday, with the Panthers at No. 8, and they were Reduced to +150 Just before the draft begins.
Someone somewhere knew what the Panthers were doing and waited until the last moment.
DraftKings reported that McMillan’s $300 bet was selected as 8th overall with 12/1 odds. Bettor A Tidy $3,600.
Despite being separated by seven picks in round one, there have been some interesting betting activities surrounding MacMillan throughout the week as Cowboys and Jaguars are joint favorites to land his services.
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The market seems to show that Jaguar will be traded down for the bear at 10th place, and that the Cowboys will be entertaining the idea of grabbing MacMillan there before doing so at 12th place.
But in the end, it wasn’t Bookie, even the mock draft experts who nailed this. It was a wise bettor who just played his card.
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Michael Lubov is a patient and abundant islander fan, but is a long-time for-profit sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters acquire a pool of brackets, find long shots, and learn how to win the market in mainstream and niche sports.
