A new poll shows that Florida's proposed abortion amendment has enough support to pass by a narrow margin.
The survey was conducted by the University of North Florida's Public Opinion Research Laboratory (PORL) and released Monday. tallahassee democrat reported. Support for the abortion reform bill reached 60%, which is a requirement for a constitutional amendment to pass in the state. 32% are opposed to this measure, and 8% are undecided.
“Since the movement against this amendment gained momentum, support for abortion protection has declined from 69% of likely voters in July.” POLL Dean and Political Science Professor Michael Binder said in a statement. “Currently barely reaching the 60 percent needed for passage, the fate of abortion in Florida appears to rest on Election Day turnout.”
If Florida voters pass the measure, known as Amendment 4, in November with at least 60 percent support, the abortion amendment would rescind the state's six-week limit, essentially only allowing it to be passed on a separate ballot. It would create a permanent, revocable right to abortion within the state. A lawsuit or a difficult legal battle? Additionally, this abortion measure basically allows abortion during pregnancy under certain conditions.
Amendment No. 4prohibits states from restricting abortions before viability, after approximately 24 weeks of gestation, or later “if, in the judgment of the patient's health care provider, it is necessary to protect the patient's health.” There is.
It says:
No law shall prohibit, penalize, delay, or restrict abortion before viability or when necessary to protect the health of the patient in accordance with the judgment of the patient's health care provider. This amendment does not change Congress' constitutional authority to require parents or guardians to be notified before a minor obtains an abortion.
The Florida Agency for Health Care Administration (AHCA) opposes this amendment. I'm saying It “threats women's safety.” AHCA warned that the bill's vague language could overturn at least 20 abortion-related laws, including parental consent, if passed.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (Republican) also spoken Opposed to amending abortion laws, said It is “written in a manner deliberately designed to deceive voters.”
Various opinion polls over the past few months have found this amendment narrowly defeated or passed, often within the margin of error (see here , here , here , here , here , here , and here ) . According to a recent opinion poll, of new york times And Siena College introduced an abortion bill that received just 46% support, well below the support needed for passage.
The latest poll was conducted Oct. 7-18 among 977 likely Florida voters in Florida's 10 major media markets. The margin of error is ±3.5 percentage points.
Read more: These 10 states will put abortion on the ballot in November
Voting measures are particularly effective as attack vectors because they are essentially irreversible. Ballot measures change the state constitution, override laws passed by the state Legislature, and can only be overturned by another ballot measure or a lengthy legal battle. These measures are typically backed by well-funded left-wing organizations and affiliates such as Planned Parenthood and the ACLU, out-of-state underground finance groups, and billionaires with eugenicist leanings. expenditure The number of pro-life organizations will double or triple.
Every pro-abortion ballot measure since fall 2019 egg It was successful. Kansan during the 2022 special election. rejected The ballot measure established that the state constitution does not include a right to abortion. In the 2022 midterm elections, voters will California, michiganand vermont state Abortion was codified into the constitution. At the same time, voters in Montana rejected This was a ballot measure that gave rights to babies born alive after failed abortions. Kentucky voters too rejected Amendments similar to those in Kansas. Last November, people in Ohio also I voted Codifying the purported right to abortion into the state constitution through Title I.
of new york times He pointed out that none of these abortion measures had approval ratings above 60% in any state. The state with the highest total approval rating was Kansas in 2022, with an approval rating of 58.97 percent.
The fight over Florida's abortion amendment is particularly high-stakes. Florida is the only state in the southeastern United States to allow abortion on the ballot in November. All states in this region Limits abortions to 12 weeks, while North Carolina limits abortions to 12 weeks. If Florida voters pass this amendment, there is no doubt that Florida will once again become the region's abortion destination.
Katherine Hamilton is a political reporter for Breitbart News. You can follow her at @thekat_Hamilton.
