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Prepare For ‘Wartime Scenario’ in Europe, Beware of Russia-China

A top North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) official singled out both Russia and China in a speech, saying Europeans must support Ukraine and prevent a “war scenario” that could befall countries on the continent if they are ill-prepared. He said people need to be prepared to sacrifice some “luxuries.” as a threat.

NATO Admiral Rob Bauer, Dutch Naval Officer, Chairman of the NATO Military Commission gave a speech at the conference The director of the Center for European Policy think tank delivered a somewhat pessimistic message on Monday about the need to prepare for conflict, insisting that the alliance is “more ready than ever”. In a speech to businesses across the alliance, the admiral outlined that while businesses need to be prepared for war, increasing readiness will improve NATO's deterrence levels and reduce the likelihood of future combat.

Admiral Bauer said the scale of spending needed to maintain peace in Europe would be enough for ordinary people to feel a pinch in their pockets, and strong leadership was needed to make the case to voters that this was necessary. He called on politicians to demonstrate this. “If we strengthen deterrence and increase support for Ukraine, we will have less money to spend on other things. It will take away some of our luxuries and we will have to make sacrifices,” he said. ”

It also implies extra costs for companies, and more robust practices to better protect American and European companies from shocks from efficient and cost-saving but fragile “just-in-time” models. A transition is being planned. This in itself will increase NATO's deterrence against adversaries, he said. Because knowing that the Western economy will not be upended by a hybrid war caused by a sudden supply shock deprives those who would weaponize trade of their weapons.

Although the current enemy is Russia, smart economies will also seek to reduce their dependence on China, Admiral Bauer said, noting that the majority of strategic imports such as rare earth minerals and essential medicines are manufactured in Russia. reminded the audience that

he said:

[Euro and American businesses should ask themselves] Is my company or organization ready for war? What can my company or organization do to prevent war?

This question may come as a surprise to some, but if you can ensure the provision of all goods and services no matter what, that is an important part of deterrence… Great Power Competition All means of power can and will be used. , we're seeing it in an increase in sabotage. And Europe experienced it in its energy supply.

We thought we had a contract with Gazprom, but in reality we had a contract with Mr. Putin. The same applies to Chinese-owned infrastructure and goods. In fact, we have an agreement with Xi Jinping… It is naive to think that the Communist Party will never exercise its power

Admiral Bauer told the conference that businesses “need to prepare for wartime scenarios,” emphasizing that war and war prevention are “whole-of-society events,” adding, “The military may win the battles, but it is It's the military.” An economy that wins wars.”

While the warning to Western society is stark, the comments are not far-fetched for Admiral Bauer, who, as the top military officer at NATO alliance headquarters, strives to improve the readiness and deterrence of signatories. He explained that part of this push is to rebalance the alliance so that European countries can contribute more to their own defence.

Breitbart reported in January when Admiral Bauer spoke of individual, rather than corporate, responsibility for contributing to integrated defense. He once again referred to large-scale wars as “whole-of-society” events, saying that the days when wars fought by Western countries were kept far away from civilian life are over.

According to reports at the time,

A visibly upset Mr Baurer responded to a journalist who accused military leaders of trying to scare the public with their announcements. Swedish general speaks to the nation The idea that war was approaching and that we needed to prepare for it led to “panic buying'' of emergency supplies. Bauer said it would be “great” if people were “surprised” to suddenly find themselves participating in a society-wide effort to repel Russian aggression. .

The admiral said in response to a question that the shock could prompt people to prepare more. In his likely address to the nation, he said: “The public needs to understand that they have a role to play. Society is part of the solution…To make sure you survive the first 36 hours, you need water, a radio with batteries, You need a flashlight. It's a simple thing, but it starts there.”

“I'm not saying everything will go wrong tomorrow, but we have to recognize that peace cannot be taken for granted,'' the NATO military chief said, adding that broader social awareness is needed, including: He said that. “Not everything can be planned, and not everything will work out for the next 20 years.”

While Admiral Bauer's comments may seem alarming, some are vocal about the possibility of a wider war in Europe. Poland, which would be right in the line of fire if Russia decides the Ukraine war has gone well and wants to start over elsewhere, is ahead of the NATO countries in this regard, with the head of the National Security Agency He said: December Europe only has three years to prepare.

Russia now needs to “regroup its forces,” he said, echoing Poland's view that if NATO is to successfully deter further Russian aggression, it must demonstrate that it can quickly counter new aggression. expressed.

Professor Katarzyna Pisarska of the Warsaw Security Forum also spoke on these points, saying that Europe would have to sacrifice some luxury to finance the transformation of its military into a reliable force that Russia would not want to confront. Admiral Bauer's point was clearly stated. “This lifestyle of welfare state and prosperity under America's protective umbrella may become unsustainable under the costs of maintaining freedom,” she told a German newspaper. He said as follows.

When should we start preparing for this scenario? We should have started yesterday… We can talk about “European autonomy” like Emmanuel Macron. But what does it mean? Could France station 10,000 soldiers in Poland tomorrow? Can Germany effectively defend NATO's eastern flank? A reliable deterrent is needed. Currently, only Americans can do that.

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