Shifting Trends in Fantasy Football Running Backs
Fantasy football has seen significant changes over the years, particularly with running backs. Back in the days of Ladainian Tomlinson and Shaun Alexander, running backs dominated the first round of drafts, almost like an unspoken rule. However, some enthusiasts started pushing PPR scoring and a zero-RB strategy to shake things up.
This shift lasted for a bit, but last season’s resurgence of running backs brought them back into the spotlight. This year, while many running backs are expected to be picked early, it’s vital to identify the best value in this position and how to capitalize on it. Sure, not everyone can snag Bijan Robinson or Saquon Barkley, but high-quality running backs can still be found at more affordable prices.
Opening your draft with players like Ja’Marr Chase or Justin Jefferson could be a smart move, especially if there are solid running back prospects available in rounds three and four—think Kenneth Walker and Chuba Hubbard.
Draft position data doesn’t fully reflect it yet, but Walker’s value rose significantly with the Seattle Seahawks hiring Clint Kubiak as their offensive coordinator. Kubiak brings along Rick Dennison, a renowned offensive line coach, and they’re implementing a new out-of-zone scheme.
Kubiak has a history of taking lesser-known players and turning them into stars. Just look back at how they helped players like Orlando Gary and Mike Anderson shine in Denver or even Arian Foster in Houston. With Walker’s talent, the expectation is that he’ll make significant strides this season.
Understanding Fantasy Football DVQ
The latest version of a popular fantasy football rating system, known as DVQ, has arrived. The system has been refined and expanded, enhancing its effectiveness. DVQ evaluates players based on their expected production relative to draft value. Each draft slot comes with an expected production value that decreases steadily. However, real-world production doesn’t follow a straight line, which is where the evaluation gets interesting. For instance, top players might have a DVQ of 1.0, while those just a tier below could sit at 13.3. It’s not about big gaps but rather small percentage differences between deeper talents.
To excel in your draft, it’s crucial to understand and embrace this DVQ. It helps anticipate where players are likely to offer the best return versus their draft slots.
Interestingly, Hubbard had a breakout year last season, transforming the Panthers’ ground game with the coaching of Dave Canales. Canales managed to elevate Hubbard’s performance, turning him from a solid contributor into a true fantasy asset largely due to increased volume.
Hubbard’s role in Carolina under Canales is that of a primary back; they don’t seem to rotate players frequently. While others focus on big names like De’Von Achane and James Cook early in the draft, you might find Hubbard’s potential waiting for you in later rounds.
As a general rule, it pays to zig while others zag in your draft strategy. Recognizing the depth of running backs this year offers a chance to play differently. Why not snag an elite receiver in the early rounds and follow up with solid running backs in rounds three and four? You could very well end up ahead of the competition.
