It has become clear over the past few months that the Roe v. Wade overthrow has created an incredibly difficult political climate for Republicans.of The widely anticipated ‘red wave’ failed to materialize in the midterm elections It was in part because last fall, Democrats were able to scare voters into believing that Republicans would ban abortion nationwide. As the 2024 campaign begins to heat up, the debate over abortion pills threatens to become an even bigger challenge for Republican candidates.
But nowhere is this battle fought more fiercely than in the American suburbs. Of his 435 seats in the House, 30-40 are truly competitive seats. The era of the overwhelming majority is over, at least for now.
Of these competitive districts, nearly all happen to be suburban districts. This is where the Republican Party’s claimed red wave crashed. While Republicans won the House popular vote, 3 million votes, resulting in more red in red.
The cold reality is that November 5, 2024 is going to be the worst night ever if Republicans don’t improve their suburban outlook. Republicans lose in Wisconsin Supreme Court ruling It shows that the Republican issue regarding independent voters has not been resolved.
Who should the Republican Party look to as an example?
One of these 30 swing seats is District 1 of South Carolina, represented by Rep. Nancy Mace. Mace represents the purple district. 44% of voters over the age of 25 have a college or professional degree. These are areas where the Republican Party has struggled in recent years. But on Election Night 2022, Mace outscored the Democratic challenger by 14 points.
While Republicans are holding hands over how to handle abortion, pro-life Mace is looking for common ground with Democrats. make contraception more accessible Expansion of medical services for rural women. Mace believes that you can find common ground even in hot issues. Including anything as politically controversial as abortion.
Mace understands that, demographically, suburbs are less partisan than rural or urban areas. America’s suburbs are starting to fill with millennial homeowners who have families, are college-educated, and are more ethnically diverse than generations past.
Suburban voters tend to describe themselves as socially tolerant and embrace a life-or-life mindset. They are also financially responsible. These voters pay taxes, knowing they and their children will be responsible for debt and future deficits. They want a boring government that does some things well and stays in that lane.that is Emotions shared by Mace.
When polling suburban people about what they want from elected officials, they use words like “common sense,” “compromise,” and “competence.” She connects with voters who want to find difficult compromises on very personal social issues. Her suburban voters may be making more money than the average American, but they feel the burden of higher prices. No, but I doubt the large, distant government programs they have to pay for. These voters want more options when it comes to health care, education, and retirement.
This is why Nancy Mace won by double digits on Republican disappointing election night.
As it stands, both parties are in decline. According to Gallup, our partisan identity is 27% Democrat, 28% Republican, and a staggering 44% Independent.
If Republicans want to keep the House, they need to perform well against independents in hotly contested districts. Nancy Mace is about to welcome them into her part of the Republican tent.
and recent interviewshe said, “[W]There are many people in this country who have left the Democratic Party. They left the Republican Party. They don’t feel like they have a home. And we need leadership that accepts those independent voices and looks ahead. ”
Mace is enthusiastically supported by her school district. If Republicans want their way to a majority, just look to South Carolina’s First District to see how it’s done.
Adam Brandon is President and CEO Freedom Works.
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