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RFK Jr.’s candidacy may hurt Trump more than Biden in 2024, a surprising new poll says

A new poll shows independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s third-party candidacy could have a bigger impact on former President Donald Trump’s numbers than President Joe Biden’s. Suggested.

The 77-year-old Trump defeated the 81-year-old Biden one-on-one, 46% to 44%, but with Kennedy added, Biden defeated Trump 39% to 37%. This is followed by Kennedy at 13%. Jill Stein is his 3%, Cornel West is his 2%, NBC News poll reveals.

This finding contradicts some other poll results and comes against the backdrop of a tense polling race between the two presidents.

Nationally, Trump’s lead over Biden fell to 0.4 percentage points. RealClearPolitics’ latest poll tally.

Donald Trump is facing trial over a hush money case that kept him from campaigning. via Reuters

But when you have Kennedy, Stein, and West; Added to RCP mixTrump’s lead nationally has jumped to 1.3 points, according to the latest data.

Kennedy will need to win 15% in some polls to advance to the debate stage.

According to an NBC poll, 15% of Kennedy defectors would have chosen Trump first in a head-to-head matchup, but only 7% would have chosen Biden first. Ta.

Kennedy also received high ratings among Republicans, with 40% to 15% having a positive opinion but a negative opinion, compared with 16% having a positive opinion and 53% having an unfavorable opinion among Democrats. .

Both the Trump and Biden campaigns are concerned that Kennedy could serve as a spoiler in the Nov. 5 presidential election.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is desperately trying to qualify to vote in key states. Brian Ulgrave/Shutterstock

Last Thursday, more than a dozen members of the Kennedy family formally endorsed Biden’s re-election. Many of them had warned against voting for their relatives given the stakes of the 2024 election.

Kennedy ran as a Democrat in the 2024 election before switching to independent last year.

Meanwhile, President Trump called him “the most radical left-wing candidate” and warned voters not to support the Kennedy heir.

Kennedy Jr. drew sizable crowds to his campaign events. AP

Another key finding of the poll was that protecting democracy remains a powerful issue for a significant portion of voters.

According to the poll, when asked about the most important issues facing the country, 23% said inflation, 22% said borders, 16% said threats to democracy, 11% said jobs and the economy, and 6% said abortion. listed.

Donald Trump has occasionally criticized Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Ken Blevins/Star News/USA TODAY NETWORK

Biden has made protecting democracy a big part of his 2024 campaign, while also trying to get his economic message across to the public.

Still, disillusionment with the election appears to be growing among voters.

Only 64% of voters are highly interested in the presidential showdown, which is a significant drop compared to past elections (77% in 2020, 69% in 2016, 67% and 74% in 2012). There is. In 2007.

President Biden appears to be gaining some support in opinion polls in recent weeks. Jim LoScalzo – Pool via CNP/MEGA

The survey results show interest is at a 20-year low.

The NBC poll was conducted April 12-16 among 1,000 registered voters and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.

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