The Saints visit the Chiefs on Monday night, giving them an opportunity to build on their same-game parlay +425 cash from last Thursday.
Kansas City opened as an 8-point favorite, but that number has surprisingly dropped to -5.5 across the market.
With both teams missing key players, New Orleans has a rash of injuries on both sides of the ball that could dramatically impact this game.
In this preview, we'll share why the injury report contains all the clues to make the same game parlay successful again.
Saints vs. Chiefs odds
| team | spread | money line | over/under |
|---|---|---|---|
| saint | +5.5 (-112) | +190 | o43 (-110) |
| chiefs | -5.5 (-108) | -230 | u43 (-110) |
Saints vs. Chiefs same game parlay (+549, FanDuel)
- Section 1: Chiefs ML (-240)
- Section 2: Travis Kelce 40+ Receiving Yards (-300)
- Section 3: Samaje Perine less than 2.5 receptions (-170)
- Section 4: Kareem Hunt 25+ Rush Yards (-400)
- Section 5: Alvin Kamara 25+ Receiving Yards (-205)
- Section 6: Less than 50.5 points (-310)
Chiefs ML (-240)
The Chiefs continue to perform year after year, even with roster changes. They shouldn't have survived without Tyreek Hill, but they traded him to the Dolphins and have since won back-to-back Super Bowls. Even the departure of offensive coordinator Eric Bieniemy did little to slow Kansas City's momentum.
The core remains intact: head coach Andy Reid (12 seasons), quarterback Patrick Mahomes (eight seasons) and defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo (six seasons).
Kansas City won 10 straight games, covering the spread in nine of those games.
The line movement heading into New Orleans is a bit confusing, but I wouldn't mind a strong money line play against the Chiefs to give SGP an advantage.
Travis Kelce 40+ Receiving Yards (-300)
After a quiet start to the season, Kelce had his best performance in Week 4 with a season-high seven catches for 89 yards on nine targets.
Kansas City made strides in the offseason to strengthen its wide receiving corps, but injuries should see Kelce play a more prominent role.
Things will get even better for Kelce, who will be without starting linebackers Pete Werner and Willie Gay. Expect Mahomes to target the soft spot in the middle of the zone and get Kelce involved early and often.
Samaje Perine less than 2.5 receptions (-170)
After Isaiah Pacheco was injured in Week 2, the Chiefs signed Kareem Hunt to their practice squad.
Hunt, who topped the depth chart heading into Monday night's game, was productive in his Week 4 debut, averaging 4.9 yards on 14 carries. He also had two successful receptions and gained 16 yards.
He's a candidate to stay on the field even on third down, and as Hunt gets more comfortable on offense, Perine could see fewer snaps, similar to what happened before Pacheco's injury.
Kareem Hunt 25+ Rush Yards (-400)
One thing we can look forward to from the Chiefs is a balanced offense. We've seen them operate like this with Pacheco, and it should continue with Hunt as the featured back.
Kansas City ranks in the top half of the league (12th) with a run play rate of 46.4%.
The Saints defense ranks 8th in FTN Fantasy's DVOA metric, but Hunt's 25 yards as an alternative rushing prop is very modest and achievable.
Alvin Kamara 25+ Receiving Yards (-205)
One could easily argue that the Saints' offense is built around a dynamic running back who has scored six touchdowns this season and has played at least 80% of the offensive snaps over the past two weeks.
With New Orleans missing two starting offensive linemen (center Shane Lemieux and right guard Cesar Lewis), Derek Carr could be under a lot of pressure from the Chiefs' pass rush. Carr likely doesn't have much time because he needs to develop quickly.
Kamara therefore becomes a great checkdown option out of the backfield, with over 25 receiving yards in all four games this season.
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ALT less than 50.5 points (-310)
In recent weeks, the Chiefs have played a more controlled game to manage injuries to their wide receivers.
Mahomes hasn't been at his best, throwing five interceptions, and his total QBR of 50.8 is the lowest of his career.
The Saints will have to do their part to push this game over 50 points, but I don't see that happening against this Chiefs defense.
FanDuel's hot alternative total adds up to 50.5 points to finish SGP.
Best bet: Same game parlay (+549, FanDuel)
- Section 1: Chiefs ML (-240)
- Section 2: Travis Kelce 40+ Receiving Yards (-300)
- Section 3: Samaje Perine less than 2.5 receptions (-170)
- Section 4: Kareem Hunt 25+ Rush Yards (-400)
- Section 5: Alvin Kamara 25+ Receiving Yards (-205)
- Section 6: ALT less than 50.5 points (-310)
Why trust New York Post Betting?
Michael Arinze handicaps most major sports for the New York Post. He has won money on two 15-leg teasers and a 12-leg parlay during his betting career, including eight games in the Little League World Series. Most recently, they accurately selected the finalists for the 2024 European Championship and Copa America.
