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Scott Turner: The U.S. Invested Over $1 Trillion in Science with Little to Show For It

Scott Turner: The U.S. Invested Over $1 Trillion in Science with Little to Show For It

Back in 1950, the U.S. government decided to invest heavily in university research, aiming to spark a new wave of scientific breakthroughs. This initiative has been running for 75 years now, with federal outlays for scientific research around universities totaling roughly $1 trillion over that time.

However, the anticipated golden age of scientific achievement hasn’t unfolded as many had hoped. While universities often tout the program as a success, the actual outcomes seem, well, kind of modest at best — if not disappointing.

Much of this funding seems to have nurtured a network of universities, funding agencies, the academic publishing industry, and various political interests rather than directly enhancing scientific discovery. Yes, some discoveries happen, but it’s uncertain how much federal funding plays a role in that progress.

When an experiment doesn’t work out, it raises a lot of questions. Should we keep trying in hopes of finding some valuable insights, or is it time to reconsider our approach? This kind of questioning can stir strong reactions within the scientific community. There’s often a fear that pulling back could lead to dire consequences — like the loss of promising cancer treatments and a darkened lab environment. All kinds of denialists thrive on that kind of anxiety.

Proponents of American science like to claim it stands as the world’s gold standard and is vital for our prosperity and security. Yet, there are voices asserting we’re not investing enough, especially since our main competitor, China, is pushing forward. In 2022, U.S. scientists authored around 500,000 scientific papers, while their Chinese counterparts produced about 1 million. To maintain leadership, advocates argue, we need to close this “publication gap,” and naturally, that calls for more funding to universities.

This situation, though, seems driven by self-interest. History suggests that science flourished even before 1950 without extensive federal funding. Perhaps it can flourish again.

The U.S. ought to keep pace with scientific advancement, but that’s not dictated by subsidized officials in Washington. It comes from creative and driven individual scientists whose work attracts interest from foundations and entrepreneurs. Notably, the most significant advances in recent years, particularly in artificial intelligence, have emerged with minimal government support.

And while there are plenty of scientific papers out there, many can’t be reproduced, and some barely contribute anything meaningful. Quite a few seem aimed solely at securing further funding. Yes, American scientists are still making significant discoveries, but their rate of progress has remained steady since 1950, seemingly independent of the influx of federal dollars.

Rather than promoting genuine discovery, the federal involvement in science has led to a circle of rent-seeking individuals who, rather than furthering scientific inquiry, have come to dictate what research should focus on and how it should be conducted. Science feels more like a product of the Big Science Cartel, where the currency is federal research funds instead of innovation.

Today, scientists’ career progress hinges on questionable metrics like the quantity of published papers, citation counts, and grants, which don’t necessarily reflect true discovery. Such pressures can stifle creative thinking and the freedom necessary for meaningful scientific inquiry.

For science to thrive, there’s a call for universities and scientists to distance themselves from federal financial support. Some argue it’s time to shut down the National Science Foundation and close various extramural research programs across federal agencies. These recommendations aren’t anti-science; they emphasize that the stewardship of science should rest with scientists, not bureaucrats. What’s needed, they say, is a smoother transition toward healthier practices instead of relying on rocky approaches.

The National Association of Scholars has proposed a similar transition path in their report. They advocate for a long-term reform plan aimed at freeing science from what they see as cartel-like control. Policy changes are essential, but scientists also need to rethink the prevailing culture that many feel has compromised the integrity of discovery. It’s really on scientists to reclaim the intellectual freedom central to the scientific endeavor. Will they face this challenge, or will they cling to their dependence on federal funding?

The verdict is still out.

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