New Jersey Gubernatorial Race Update
Rep. Mikie Sherrill (D.N.J.) has expanded her lead over Republican challenger Jack Ciatarelli in the gubernatorial election in New Jersey, according to recent polling data following a heated debate last week.
A survey from Quinnipiac University, released Wednesday, indicates that 50% of likely voters favor Sherrill, while 44% back Ciatarelli. Additionally, 1% of respondents express support for Libertarian candidate Vic Kaplan and Socialist Labor Party candidate Joanne Kunianski.
Tim Malloy, a polling analyst at Quinnipiac University, remarked, “The loud debate is over, the attack ads are everywhere, the race is close, and Sherrill has a slight advantage.” He added that voter enthusiasm will be crucial as Election Day approaches and noted that Ciatarelli has a lead in that aspect.
Interestingly, it seems that Ciatarelli’s supporters are more energized about their candidate compared to those backing Sherrill. A solid 91% of Ciatarelli’s likely voters indicated they are either very enthusiastic or somewhat enthusiastic about supporting a candidate endorsed by President Trump, while 86% of Sherrill’s supporters expressed similar enthusiasm for her.
The support for both candidates shows a clear gender divide. Among female voters, 57% lean towards Sherrill, whereas 53% of male voters favor Ciatarelli.
“Jack Ciatarelli holds a pretty solid 11-point lead among male voters, while Mikie Sherrill holds nearly twice that lead among female voters,” said Malloy.
Both candidates have experience in politics, but Sherrill’s background as a prosecutor and her congressional tenure appear to resonate more with voters. In fact, 46% of survey participants felt that her Congressional experience improved their view of her, while 17% felt less favorable, and 36% reported no impact on their opinions.
The same percentage, 46%, viewed her legal and prosecutorial career positively, although 13% had a negative view on that front.
Conversely, 34% of respondents said that Ciatarelli’s local political experience made them view him more favorably, while 9% felt less favorable, and 55% noted it had no effect. More respondents held a negative view (23%) of Ciatarelli’s previous gubernatorial races compared to those with a favorable impression (17%).
The Quinnipiac University poll surveyed 1,327 likely voters in New Jersey from October 9-13 and has a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.





