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Trump Still Leads if 2016, 2020 Polling Errors Factored In

Speaking on CNN on Tuesday, network data analyst Harry Enten downplayed the polling frenzy surrounding Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris. Enten said that when the margin of error between 2016 and 2020 is taken into account in battleground states, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump still has an advantage. “Exactly. I mean, the poll numbers that […]

RFK Jr. and third parties could pose danger for Trump, polling suggests

Recent polls have suggested that independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and other third-party candidates could pose a threat to Donald Trump now that President Biden is no longer the front-runner. For months, polls predicting a three-way race between Trump, Biden and Kennedy have offered mixed signals about which major-party candidate would be hurt […]

Karl Rove predicts Harris will soon lead Trump in national polling average

Republican strategist Karl Rove famous whiteboard Friday to demonstrate how Vice President Harris can gain “momentum” to “maintain the lead” in the presidential election by the end of the Democratic National Convention. “Since July 26th, five polls have been conducted. Only two have shown Trump in the lead. Three have shown him in the lead,” […]

Democrats’ ‘weird’ attack line on JD Vance may be working, polling guru argues

A new report suggests the Harris campaign’s new favorite line of attack against Sen. J.D. Vance of Ohio may be taking hold. Since former President Donald Trump selected Vance as his running mate last month, many Democrats have repeatedly attacked the Republican candidate as “weird” and “creepy.” “Weird” has been a buzzword used to attack […]

Harris slices Trump's national lead in half: New polling average

Vice President Harris has halved former President Trump’s lead in the newly reopened 2024 presidential election. National poll average Harris is likely to replace President Biden as President Trump’s Democratic rival. The first edition of the new Cook Political Report average, re-released on Wednesday, shows Trump leading Harris by 1.3 points, 47.5% to 46.2%. The […]

Amid Harris’ youth polling surge, latest figures show Biden did better with Black voters

A comparison of polls taken before and after President Biden decided not to seek reelection shows that, with one notable exception, up-and-coming Vice President Kamala Harris’ campaign is gaining momentum. Harris, who could become the first Black woman and first South Asian president, lost support to Biden among Black voters, according to recent analyses. A […]

Trump edges out Harris in Arizona, Pennsylvania but lags in Georgia in new polling

According to a new poll obtained for the first time by The Hill, former President Trump is narrowly ahead of Vice President Harris in Arizona and Pennsylvania, but is closing in on her in Georgia. A poll conducted by the left-leaning polling firm Public Policy Polling on behalf of the Progress Action Fund, a Democratic […]

Polling Shows JD Vance More Popular than Kamala Harris

Polls show that Republican vice presidential nominee Sen. J.D. Vance (Ohio) is more popular than presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris, contradicting existing media reports. Harry Enten, CNN’s senior political data reporter, recently Said He said he “doesn’t understand” why former President Donald Trump chose Vance as his running mate, and argued that Vance has […]