This Sunday, one of hockey’s most intense rivalries will unfold as Canada faces the United States for gold at the 2026 Milan-Cortina Olympics. Molly Walker from the paper shared her insights on this much-anticipated matchup:
Goaltending
Jordan Binnington seems like a different player when he’s donning the Maple Leafs, while Connor Hellebuyck has established himself as one of the best goalies out there right now.
The odds appear to favor the Americans in this regard, particularly given the Olympics’ progression. Hellebuyck has been stellar, leading all 12 nations in save percentage and points average as the gold medal game approaches. He has really showcased his skills. While Binnington hasn’t exactly been poor, it feels as if he’s more prone to letting in some unpredictable goals compared to Hellebuyck.
Defense
This defensive matchup is intriguing for several reasons.
Canada won’t be at full strength; Josh Morrissey has unfortunately been ruled out of the final due to an upper body injury from the tournament’s first period.
With his absence and the significant influence of Quinn Hughes on America’s defense, one can anticipate an advantage for the U.S.
Canada’s top pairing of Cale Makar and Devon Toews definitely boasts a unique chemistry, which can be hard to find in a tournament setting. But, on the other hand, Charlie McAvoy adds a strong presence to the American defense with his physical play, and Zach Werenski has the ability to contribute offensively.
Forwards
Considering that Canada has a lineup featuring Nathan MacKinnon, Connor McDavid, and Macklin Celebrini, it’s tough to overlook their edge in the forward department. Celebrini is particularly noteworthy as the youngest participant in the tournament.
Canada displays considerable depth, although there’s some concern with Sidney Crosby’s injury. Oddly enough, Mitch Marner is in the third row, which feels kind of surprising. Meanwhile, the Americans’ primary line, with Brady and Matthew Tkachuk supporting Jack Eichel, has been effective since their inception for the Four Nations, but the second unit doesn’t quite measure up to Canada’s depth.
Jake Guentzel had a less-than-stellar tournament, but Auston Matthews stepped up and did what he needed to for the team.
Overall, the advantage goes to Canada here.
Special Teams
We’re looking at a clash between Canada’s best power play and America’s top penalty kill.
Both teams have meticulously crafted their units, and the U.S. seems particularly focused on a roster loaded with role players.
JT Miller and Vincent Trocheck have anchored the American penalty units, while MacKinnon scored three power-play goals.
Coaching
Listening to Canada’s John Cooper and America’s Mike Sullivan reflect on this moment was truly special. They discussed its significance for hockey and what it means to them personally.
These experienced coaches are often regarded as two of the best in the business. They’ve both been at it for many years and have reaped successes that others could only dream of.
While their philosophies might differ, the outcomes have been remarkably similar.
Prediction
This year seems to lean in favor of Team USA. A major aspect of this tournament has been showcasing how far each region’s hockey has advanced, and it’s evident they’re now competing on equal footing with Canada.
