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The Protocol: Quantum computing might undo Bitcoin earlier than expected, according to Google

Bitcoin's Taproot may simplify quantum attacks more than anticipated, new research indicates.

network news

Google indicates Bitcoin destruction may be easier than expected: Google’s Quantum AI team recently suggested that breaking into Bitcoin’s blockchain with quantum computers could be simpler than earlier believed. This insight, detailed in a new paper, notes that Bitcoin’s taproot technology facilitates more efficient and private transactions. Remarkably, researchers estimate that the computational resources necessary to compromise Bitcoin’s security might be significantly lower than the previously mentioned “millions” of qubits. They now propose that fewer than 500,000 qubits could suffice to tackle the encryption protecting Bitcoin and Ethereum. Google has highlighted 2029 as a potential tipping point for effective quantum computing, amplifying the urgency of their findings. Specifically, two proposed attack methods would need around 1,200 to 1,450 high-quality qubits, implying that the technological gap associated with feasible attacks is perhaps smaller than investors might anticipate. The research explains how these attacks could unfold, emphasizing that quantum attackers could monitor transactions in real time. The public key associated with Bitcoin transactions becomes temporarily visible, providing a fast quantum computer the opportunity to compute the private key and redirect the funds.

OPENAI secures unprecedented $122 billion: AI powerhouse OpenAI has achieved a groundbreaking funding round of $122 billion, which dominates private market fundraising and positions the company as the most valuable startup ever. Backed by giants like Amazon, Nvidia, and SoftBank, with investment participation from Microsoft, this capital infusion also included a significant allocation for retail investors, raising over $3 billion. OpenAI reported generating $2 billion monthly, a steep increase from $1 billion per quarter at the close of 2024. The user metrics for ChatGPT are impressive too, boasting over 900 million active weekly users and beyond 50 million subscribers, claiming six times the monthly web visits of the next closest AI application.

How Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are strategizing for Q-DAY: As the prospects of quantum computing inch closer to reality, the crypto industry is confronting long-ignored dilemmas. The big question looms: what happens when the cryptographic structures backing vast digital assets become obsolete? Responses across leading ecosystems like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are varied, with community members torn between caution and accelerating innovation. Quantum computing operates fundamentally differently, leveraging quantum mechanics rather than classical physics and utilizing “qubits” that can represent multiple states simultaneously. This allows it to address complex problems much quicker than traditional supercomputers, which could take years to tackle the same challenges. As Google has noted, the urgency to shift toward post-quantum cryptography is becoming increasingly pressing, with the 2029 deadline fast approaching.

Base team maps out 2026 objectives: Base, an Ethereum Layer 2 network developed by Coinbase, has revealed a strategic plan for 2026 focused on markets, payments, and developer support, aiming to foster a “global on-chain economy.” Following its launch in August 2023, the network is among the most utilized Layer 2 platforms. Initially based on Optimism’s OP stack, Base intends to shift toward its proprietary infrastructure for future expansion. Layer 2 technologies aim to process transactions more swiftly and affordably while relying on Ethereum’s security. Recently, some Ethereum leaders, including co-founder Vitalik Buterin, have indicated a shift towards enhancing the base layer, raising questions on how Base will evolve in light of Ethereum’s changing landscape. As for 2026, Base targets on-chain market growth, expansion of stablecoin payments, and a thriving developer community, especially as institutional adoption of on-chain trading venues and stablecoins is expected to rise.

In other news

  • Bitcoin has historically been characterized by dramatic boom-bust cycles, but recent trends indicate its decline has moderated to about 50%. Some analysts see this as a sign of Bitcoin’s maturation as an asset class. Jason Fernandez of AdLunam remarked that such a decline reflects deepening liquidity and increased institutional involvement, which tend to stabilize volatility. The conversation has shifted from questioning Bitcoin’s legitimacy to focusing on optimizing investment strategies.
  • In Jack Dorsey’s perspective, he believes that middle management roles are most vulnerable to the impending AI revolution. He, along with Block investor Roelof Botha, argues that the recent workforce reduction wasn’t merely about cutting costs but a strategic move to replace traditional management with AI. Their essay suggests that AI can effectively handle organizational communication that was previously managed by human intermediaries.

regulation and policy

  • Australia has implemented new legislation, creating a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets. This requires crypto exchanges and custody providers to secure a financial services license under the recently passed Corporations Amendment (Digital Asset Framework) Bill 2025. The aim is to incorporate digital asset management into the existing financial services licensing regime, enhancing protections for customer assets while mitigating risks seen in past crypto failures.
  • Hong Kong has delayed its timeline for the Hong Kong dollar stablecoin license, failing to approve an issuer by its own March target. Despite earlier intentions to kickstart license issuance as part of evolving into a regulated stablecoin and tokenized finance hub, the lack of progression raises concerns regarding the implementation speed of their regulatory framework.

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