These six battleground states could cost President Biden the White House in 2024

Joe Biden won the White House in the 2020 election by narrowly defeating Donald Trump in six key battleground states.

Going back nearly three years, the latest polls in these key battleground states show that Biden is likely to face reelection in 2024 against Trump, the strong front-runner in the race for the Republican presidential nomination. There is growing concern about

Numerous national polls and several battleground state polls conducted in recent weeks have shown Mr. Trump leading Mr. Biden in a hypothetical general election showdown, drawing significant media attention.

Polls suggest that Biden’s support is worsening among blacks, Latinos and young voters, long key constituencies for the Democratic Party.

Biden faces an even bigger electoral deficit than Obama had a year before the 2012 presidential election.

President Biden speaks at a campaign rally at the Mayflower Hotel in Washington, DC, June 23, 2023. (Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)

“The lack of enthusiasm and declining support is certainly real,” said Chris Anderson, a veteran Democratic pollster and strategist who served as Democratic partner on Fox News polls for a decade and a half.

Go here to check the latest FOX News 2024 poll

“In terms of where these people are next November, if it’s a Biden-Trump matchup, I would expect many, if not most, to move back into the Democratic base.” said Anderson. “I think as soon as Trump’s name becomes the opposite of Biden, everything becomes different than if you were evaluating Biden alone.”

Another potential electoral danger for the president is that he is competing against independent or third-party candidates such as Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Green Party candidate Jill Stein, and progressive academic Cornel West, as well as A nonpartisan candidate supported by the advocacy group No Labels is a possibility. That could lead to more votes for Biden.

Joe Biden and Donald Trump

The latest polls in key battleground states for the general election spell some trouble for President Biden as he looks ahead to the 2024 election. (Brian Snyder/Reuters/Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images)

Here are six battleground states (in alphabetical order) where Biden will need to work overtime to stay in the Democratic field.


Biden beat Trump by less than 11,000 votes out of more than 3.3 million votes cast. He became the first Democrat to carry the state and its 11 electoral votes since President Bill Clinton in 1996.

The latest polls in Arizona, assuming a rematch in 2024, suggest Mr. Trump has a slight lead or a similar lead over Mr. Biden.


Out of about 4.5 million votes cast, Biden beat Trump by less than 12,000 votes. He is the first Democrat to win the state since Clinton in 1992, with 16 electoral votes.

The latest Georgia polls for a potential 2024 rematch show Trump leading Biden from low to high single digits.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. on stage during the presidential election announcement on October 9, 2023 in Philadelphia. (Gilbert Carrasquillo/GC Images)


Mr. Biden defeated Mr. Trump by 2.8 percentage points, flipping a state that Mr. Trump carried in 2016.

Michigan still has 16 electors up for grabs in 2024, and polls predict a close race between Biden and Trump in the Great Lakes battleground state.


Mr. Biden defeated Mr. Trump by 2.4 percentage points, reversing a state that Mr. Trump carried in 2016. The Democratic presidential candidate’s margin of victory in the Silver State is the smallest since 2004, when the party last lost Nevada.

Nevada has six electors up for grabs again in 2024, and polls show Trump leading the president by low single digits to low double digits.


Mr. Biden defeated Mr. Trump by 1.2 percentage points and regained Democratic states that Mr. Trump flipped in 2016.

In Pennsylvania, the state will receive 19 electoral votes in 2024 (one less than in 2020), but the latest polls show Biden either tied with Trump or with a slight lead.


In the 2020 election, Biden beat Trump by just over 20,000 votes out of more than 3.2 million votes cast. Trump took back the state that he flipped from blue to red in 2016.


Wisconsin still has 10 electors up for grabs in 2024, and polls suggest it will be an extremely close race between Biden and Trump.

“Whether those six states in particular are going to have a harder time.” [for Biden]I think that’s a little far to say,” Anderson said.

“I think it’s clear that this country is deeply divided and hasn’t gotten any less divided over the last four years.”

Get the latest on the 2024 campaign trail, exclusive interviews and more with Fox News Digital’s Election Hub.



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