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Time to Pounce: 2 Historically Cheap Ultra-High-Yield Energy Stocks That Are Begging to Be Bought Right Now – The Motley Fool

Boasting an average yield of 9.87%, these energy income stocks can really enrich your wallet.

For more than a century, Wall Street has been a wealth-building machine. Today, investors can choose from thousands of publicly traded companies and exchange-traded funds when investing their money.

But of the countless strategies you can deploy to grow your nest egg on Wall Street, few have been more successful over the past half-century than buying and holding high-quality dividend stocks.

In recent weeks, The Hartford Funds analysts have updated a number of datasets published in a report published last year in collaboration with Ned Davis Research called “The Power of Dividends: Past, Present, and Future.” . Specifically, the two examine the average annual returns of dividend payers and non-payers over the past half-century (1973 to 2023) and determine how much more volatile their profit stocks are compared to those who do not pay dividends. compared.

Image source: Getty Images.

The Hartford Fund found that non-dividend-paying publicly traded companies generated a modest average annual return of 4.27% over 50 years and were 18% more volatile than the benchmark. S&P500. Meanwhile, companies that paid dividends delivered more than double the average annual return of non-dividend-paying companies (9.17%), despite being 6% less volatile than the widely followed S&P 500. We realized this.

One sector known for its high profits is energy. The energy sector includes oil and gas (O&G) drilling companies, midstream companies, refiners, O&G equipment providers, and a small number of coal and uranium producers.

Of the roughly 200 energy stocks with market capitalizations of at least $300 million, 50 support ultra-high yield dividends, or at least four times the S&P 500’s yield. Energy income stocks are two historically cheap companies with an average yield of 9.87% and are currently being coveted by opportunistic investors.

Time to attack: Enterprise Products Partners (7.27% yield)

The first supercharged energy dividend stock investors are ready to jump on is none other than enterprise product partner (EPD 0.14%). Enterprise boasts a market-best yield of 7.3% and has increased its underlying annual distribution in each of the past 25 years.

EPD Ordinary Dividend Payment (Quarterly) Chart

EPD Ordinary Dividends Paid (Quarterly) Depends on the data Y chart.

For some investors, the idea of ​​putting money into O&G stocks is worrying, given what happened to energy commodities four years ago. In April 2020, during the early stages of the coronavirus pandemic lockdown, crude oil futures briefly slumped. negative $40 per barrel.

However, Enterprise Products Partners was able to avoid this roller coaster situation. Because it’s not a driller. The company is one of America’s largest midstream O&G companies.

Midstream companies are best thought of as energy intermediaries. They contract with upstream (drilling) energy companies to handle the transportation and storage of oil, natural gas, natural gas liquids, and refined products. Enterprise oversees more than 50,000 miles of electrical transmission pipelines and can store more than 300 million barrels of liquids and more than 14 billion cubic feet of natural gas.

At Enterprise Products Partners, our “secret sauce” is our contracts. The company negotiates long-term contracts with upstream energy companies, primarily on fixed tariffs. Fixed price contracts remove the effects of inflation and spot price fluctuations from the equation, increasing the predictability of operating cash flows from year to year.

The ability to accurately forecast operating cash flow is critical when expending capital on bolt-on acquisitions or new projects. The company’s management has allocated approximately $6.9 billion to major projects, many of which are focused on expanding liquid natural gas production capacity. These projects should gradually increase operating cash flow over time.

I would also like to add that due to the company’s transparency and predictable cash flow, there was never any risk of its distribution being cut or stopped even in the midst of the pandemic. While a distribution coverage ratio (DCR), which is the amount of distributable cash a company brings in divided by the amount it pays out to investors, is less than 1 indicating that the dividend is unsustainable, an enterprise’s DCR is It never fell below 1.6. .

Macroeconomic catalysts also drive growth for enterprise product partners. Global oil supplies have been constrained as major energy companies have cut capital spending for years amid the pandemic. As long as supply remains tight, spot oil prices should rise. In other words, it could encourage domestic drillers to increase production, which could allow Enterprise to secure more favorable long-term fixed-price contracts.

Enterprise Products Partners looks particularly cheap at a multiple of approximately 7x estimated 2025 cash flows.

Excavator loading payload onto dump truck at open pit mine.

Image source: Getty Images.

Time of Attack: Alliance Resource Partners (12.46% Yield)

Another historically cheap ultra-high yield energy stock to buy right now is coal companies. alliance resource partner (ARLP -0.16%). Alliance Resources succumbed to the pressures of a historic demand cliff for energy commodities during the early stages of the pandemic, but has since reintroduced and significantly increased quarterly volumes. At the moment, it’s mining a 12.5% ​​yield for investors.

The obvious concern about coal stocks is that they are yesterday’s news. Entering this decade, it was widely expected that the coal industry would gradually decline as utilities and businesses aggressively invested in clean energy solutions such as wind and solar power. But the pandemic changed everything.

As energy companies around the world cut back on capital investment, the coal industry did its best to fill the gap. Alliance Resources and its peers are enjoying a resurgence in coal demand and historically high selling prices per tonne.

The Federal Reserve’s hawkish monetary policy also happens to be a boon for Alliance Resource Partners. Clean energy projects are expensive to implement. With interest rates rising at the fastest pace in 40 years, the return on investment for solar and wind projects is no longer attractive.

Meanwhile, Alliance Resource Partners’ management has done an excellent job of conservatively expanding production while keeping debt service costs manageable. The company ended the March quarter with net debt of $297.1 million and generated nearly $210 million in net cash from operating activities. For Alliance Resources, the rising interest rate environment is less of a concern.

The company’s management team also deserves credit for producing predictable cash flow every year. A not-so-subtle trick is the decision to set prices and commit to production up to four years in advance. Based on the expected midpoint of coal production of 34.9 million tonnes in 2024, the company has already priced and committed 32.6 million tonnes this year, with 16.3 million tonnes scheduled for next year. Locking in these commitments at prices per tonne far above historical norms is a genius move that leads to transparent cash flow generation.

Another thing to note about Alliance Resource Partners is that they are diversifying their business by purchasing royalty interests in O&G. Simply put, if spot prices for crude oil and natural gas rise, the company’s earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) will most likely rise as well.

Finally, ratings are very meaningful. A 6x forward annual earnings multiple is a cheap price for a leading coal company firing on all cylinders.

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