Nikola Jokic is on track to claim his fourth NBA MVP trophy in the 2025-26 season, a feat that would surpass both Larry Bird and Magic Johnson, putting him on par with legends like LeBron James and Wilt Chamberlain. Unfortunately, a hyperextended knee injury just before the new year has likely derailed his hopes. He’ll be sidelined for at least four weeks, and realistically, it seems pretty tough for him to play all remaining games this season to meet the league’s minimum of 65 games for postseason eligibility. That might be a long shot.
But Jokic isn’t alone in facing challenges with the minimum games requirement. Giannis Antetokounmpo can only afford to miss three more games, Victor Wembanyama is limited to five more absences, and Stephen Curry has room for just eight more missed games. Ultimately, availability can be a game changer.
While only five players typically get nominated for the official NBA MVP voting, there’s a case for expanding that to ten players. As the year shifts, here’s the ranking of 2026 NBA MVP candidates, minus Jokic, due to his slim chances of qualifying.
10. Donovan Mitchell, G, Cleveland Cavaliers: The Cavaliers had high aspirations this season, but it looks like they may fall short, and it’s not really Mitchell’s doing. He’s averaging an impressive 41.2 points per 100 possessions, shooting a career-best 62.6 percent. While his defense may not shine, it’s striking that he’s outperformed Victor Wembanyama in efficiency despite being significantly shorter. He rounds out this list, slightly ahead of Jaylen Brown and Jamal Murray, both of whom are also having standout seasons.
9. Alperen Sengun, C, Houston Rockets: The Rockets kick off the new year as having the fifth-best playoff odds. This spot was keenly contested between Kevin Durant and Sengun, but Sengun’s impact on the team takes precedence. With strong scoring, playmaking, and rebounding skills, he’s a linchpin for Houston’s top-10 defense. At just 23, Sengun, with impressive averages of 31.8 points, 13.2 rebounds, and 9.5 assists per 100 possessions, is definitely a talent to watch, even if he still needs to sharpen his shooting efficiency.
8. Anthony Edwards, G, Minnesota Timberwolves: Edwards hasn’t cracked the top 25 just yet, according to advanced stats, but he is emerging as a potent scorer for the Wolves. His numbers might dip in assists and rebounds, but he’s still shooting at an efficient 62.8 percent and scoring nearly 40 points per 100 possessions. Known for his explosive driving ability, he’s also proving himself as a respectable shooter, hitting around 40 percent of his threes, although he has room to grow as a playmaker.
7. Stephen Curry, G, Golden State Warriors: The Warriors are struggling to stay afloat this year, which is unfortunate because Curry continues to dazzle. He’s averaging an astounding 43.4 points per 100 possessions—the second-highest of his career. As the league’s premier shooter, making 39 percent of his remarkable 18.3 three-point attempts, it’s wild to see him performing at such a high level at age 37. His talent is something special, but it would’ve been nice if his team had fared better in the playoffs.
6. Cade Cunningham, G, Detroit Pistons: The Pistons currently lead the East, and Cunningham is a major factor in their success. As a former top pick, he’s a true two-way star, balancing offensive creativity with a solid defensive presence. Although his three-point shooting has been a bit erratic, he remains an essential part of a strong lineup. Given the injuries to others, a top-five finish in MVP voting is a strong possibility for him.
5. Jalen Brunson, G, New York Knicks: Brunson has been a driving force for the Knicks. He’s averaging an impressive 40.3 points per 100 possessions at 60 percent shooting, showcasing impeccable mid-range shooting skills. While he struggles defensively, the Knicks have players to compensate for that shortcoming. Brunson is pivotal in big moments, helping steer the team during critical stretches, particularly in the playoffs.
4. Victor Wembanyama, C, San Antonio Spurs: There’s quite a buzz about when Wembanyama will claim the MVP award—I mean, he already has the potential and skill set to do so. The 7-foot-5 French talent is flourishing both offensively and defensively. His incredible wingspan makes scoring against him a daunting task. While he’s still polishing his offensive game, his current 35 percent shooting from beyond the arc is pretty solid, and the Spurs perform notably better when he’s on the floor.
3. Luka Doncic, G, Los Angeles Lakers
Doncic’s bounce-back season is living up to expectations. This year, his numbers have reached career highs—his scoring output is at 45.1 points per 100 possessions, with solid shooting percentage despite a dip from three-point range. His playmaking is equally impressive, boasting an assist rate high in the league. If he stays injury-free, he could hit the required games to be eligible. Perhaps this year is not the charm for Luka, but another injury could open the door for him.
2. Giannis Antetokounmpo, F, Milwaukee Bucks
Antetokounmpo can afford a few more game absences this season and still be in MVP contention. His performance has been notable—averaging over 48 points, 16 rebounds, and 10 assists per 100 possessions while shooting an excellent 67.3 percent. He’s doing impressive work this season, even if his defense has dipped slightly. He remains one of the league’s fiercest scorers, and other teams are still searching for answers on how to contain him.
1. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, G, Oklahoma City Thunder
It’s quite surprising to see Jokic drop down in the MVP race, as he seemed a lock prior to his injury. However, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander truly deserves another MVP nod. With brilliant shooting, versatile moves, and a knack for getting to the foul line, he’s become a dominant guard. Current averages showcase his impressive scoring efficiency as well. The Thunder’s success has him front and center, bolstered by solid role players around him. As they push toward the championship, he is integral to their ambitions.
