Running backs often face injuries, yet the impact fluctuates significantly from one season to the next. Recent years have seen fewer injuries among top players, but that trend might not last, so it’s wise to stay prepared.
There are only a handful of true three-down running backs who also dominate both goal-line and passing situations. Because these players are rare, they become early round picks in drafts. Their versatility means that losing one to injury creates a noticeable gap, as their abilities can’t easily be replicated by another single player.
When considering backup running backs, or “handcuffs” as they are sometimes called in fantasy leagues, several factors come into play. First, is there a chance the backup will step up as a three-down back? That’s pretty rare, but it does happen, and those players often have a corresponding average draft position (ADP) that reflects their potential. Second, if they aren’t going to take on a three-down role, what kind of role are they likely to fill? Third, evaluate the team’s overall offense. Will the backup have opportunities for fantasy points, or is that offense simply one to avoid? Lastly, consider if there’s another running back on the roster who might do better if the main guy goes down. Can that player split carries, spreading the fantasy production too thinly?
For example, Corum showed last season that he can compete with starter Kyren Williams. He’s one of the few backups who could emerge as a major player if the starter were to get hurt. However, his ADP reflects that potential, meaning you’ll probably need a solid pick to land him. His ceiling is high due to the Rams’ offensive potential, but there’s a chance he might not see enough action to be more than a flex option while Williams is healthy.
Another name to consider is Keaton Mitchell from the Chargers. They already have two solid backs in Omarion Hampton and Kimani Vidal, so Mitchell probably won’t see significant carries immediately. Nevertheless, he has shown bursts of explosiveness, and given Mike McDaniel’s offensive style, there might be opportunities for him. While it’s uncertain how often he’ll get used, even a modest number of touches could make Mitchell worthwhile.
Saquon Barkley has a lot of wear on him, but Bigsby performed admirably with limited chances last season, averaging 5.9 yards per carry. If Barkley were to go down, Bigsby may lose some passing work, but he could thrive in the Eagles’ run-focused system. Though Hurts’ running style could affect touchdown opportunities for running backs, it can also create favorable situations. Given that Bigsby will only have value if he’s stepping in for Barkley, it might be best to draft him in leagues with deeper rosters.
Recently, Lloyd’s situation improved due to the Packers placing RB Josh Jacobs on the commissioner’s exempt list amid domestic abuse allegations. It’s hard to predict how this will play out, but Lloyd could be a player to watch as drafts approach.
Although Lloyd carries a significant injury risk, his potential in Green Bay’s strong running game makes him an intriguing option. If he can stay healthy, and if Jacobs doesn’t perform, Lloyd could emerge as a valuable player. There are a lot of “if’s,” but he has received positive feedback during training camp. Should his stock rise too high for comfort, I would still consider drafting him if he remains available late.
I’ve consistently drafted Davis over the past two seasons, but I’ve rarely been able to use him because James Cook has managed to stay healthy. That might continue to be the case, but if Cook were to miss time, Davis would find himself in an excellent position. Currently, Davis’ ADP sits at RB64, but if you have limited bench space, it gets tricky to hold onto these backup players while navigating the waiver wire. If you have room, though, they definitely represent potential lottery picks.
There’s considerable hype surrounding the Bears’ offense, and it seems somewhat justified. They possess a strong running game, and if Ben Johnson can replicate the success he had in Detroit, the backup to D’Andre Swift could see significant touchdown opportunities. We’ve seen what David Montgomery accomplished while Swift was sidelined, and while Swift might not quite match Jahmyr Gibbs’ talent, Monangai showed he could perform well. If you’re optimistic about the Bears, I’d recommend trying to get a piece of their offense for your fantasy team. Just keep an eye on Monangai’s knee situation, as he’s currently dealing with a hyperextended injury.
