Executives of President Donald Trump's campaign are extremely confident in their ability to score strong victories in battleground states, with Kamala and Trump in seven battleground states likely to decide the outcome of the presidential election in just over three weeks. They claim that Harris' metrics are collapsing.
A memo sent to reporters Sunday by senior advisers Chris LaCivita and Susie Wiles and pollster Tony Fabrizio said “cracks” have developed in the Democratic candidate's campaign, and he has says the cracks are becoming apparent at the worst of times, and for Republicans at the best of times.
RealClearPolitics' model predicts the former president will ultimately win 296 electoral votes, enough to win even if one or two states go to Harris in November. Noting that the numbers are too high, Team Trump insists on Harris' supposed “momentum.” . . Harris has “never really existed beyond July,” and its “internal battleground state data” shows that Harris has “been in the spotlight in image and polling since Labor Day and to this day.” The rankings actually went down slightly.
Her favorability rating is 5 points underwater, compared to -3 at the beginning of last month. In a direct contest with President Trump, the vice president lost two points. She died last month along with Donald.
Digging deeper reveals changes in dynamics. According to his campaign, Trump's approval rating among independents is +13 compared to 2020 levels. He leads Harris by five spots in that important group.
And while he still has a 61-point lead with black voters, it's better than the 81-point lead he experienced with black voters four years ago, and it's better than the 81-point lead with black voters that Barack Obama recently held against black men. That's a good reason why he's preaching support for Harris. data.
Trump is +7 among Hispanics, but he lost by 25 points in 2020. And among voters under 45, she trails Harris by just 4 points.
Part of the seismic shift in the campaign can be explained by the fact that Harris is seen as an agent of the status quo, despite her best efforts to distance herself from the administration she has served for nearly four years. says the Trump campaign. She cannot “convince voters that she is a campaign 'change agent' and that she has an advantage on the economy, inflation, immigration, crime, or improving people's financial situation.”
These key The topic is meaningful.
According to Team Trump data, Harris is more likely than Harris to do a better job as president (49% vs. 45%), bring about change (47% vs. 43%), and create jobs (47% vs. % vs. 42%) and are seen as more likely to cause a fight. Inflation (50% to 40%), improvement in the economy (50% to 41%), and improvement in respondents' personal financial situation (52% to 40%).
But it's not, as the saying goes, “It's all about the economy, idiot.”
It's also a security issue, with Trump's data showing voters don't trust Harris to guard against threats, foreign or domestic.
When it comes to fighting crime and keeping communities safe, 38% of respondents believe Harris can accomplish that.
And when it comes to fighting off hostile immigration and securing the border, it's unfortunate that 28% of those surveyed think Harris is the person. Trump has an almost 2-to-1 advantage on this important issue.
Beyond the issues, Team Trump believes Harris' flip-flopping on cashless bail, fracking, and electric vehicles doesn't understand the full context of her radical career, even though the press promoted the noise. I think it will be difficult for some voters to correct this.
“She has sought to reinvent herself at every level, and even though she was once called the 'worst vice president of modern times' by many media outlets, it is important to note that she has sought to quickly extract votes from voters.” When she did, the media gave her a free pass (much like Harris did with the violent criminals she supervised). But as some courageous members of the media have reported, in focus group after focus group voters are unconvinced and unsure of who Kamala really is, says Team Trump. .
