Entering the final round of the presidential election, recent polls show former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris in a close race, with the Democratic candidate appearing to be losing support among Latino and black voters. is.
The latest USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll has Harris at 45% and Trump at 44%.
The same poll in August found Harris leading Trump 48% to 43% after the Democratic National Convention. The new survey, released Monday, questioned 1,000 likely voters by landline and cellphone from Oct. 14 to 18. The margin of error was plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
Harris lost support among Latino and black voters in the seven weeks between surveys. A new poll finds that Latino voters now support Mr. Trump 49% to 38%. Black voters support Harris 72% to 17%, a 55-point difference that is significantly smaller than the advantage Democrats have traditionally enjoyed.
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Former Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump smiles at the Beauty Society's Hispanic Roundtable in Las Vegas on October 12, 2024. (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
For subsamples of Latino and Black voters, the survey's margin of error is plus or minus 9 points, meaning it could be repositioned by up to 18 points in one direction or the other.
President Biden benefited from incredible support from Black and Latino voters four years ago. In the 2020 election, 92% of black voters and 59% of Latino voters supported Biden, according to a Pew Research Center analysis.
Trump has campaigned on the economy and crime, but by courting men he is gaining support from black and Latino voters in the 2024 election.
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Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris speaks at a campaign event in Grand Rapids, Michigan on October 18, 2024. (Bill Priano/Getty Images)
Observing a shift in the Democratic Party's traditional advantages, the Harris campaign last week announced an economic package for black men. He promised small business loans and the legalization of recreational marijuana.
His campaign has also ramped up events targeting Latino and black voters in battleground states, arguing that former President Barack Obama could discourage black men from voting for a female president. and criticized black men.
In a separate poll conducted in seven battleground states, 47% of respondents said they would definitely or probably support Harris, and 47% said they would definitely or probably support Trump. According to a Washington Post Schar School poll, 49% of likely voters support Ms. Harris, while 48% support Mr. Trump.
In battleground states, Trump is doing well in Arizona, but Harris is doing best in Georgia.
The poll also looked at some voters in battleground states known as “deciders,” or people who are not fully committed to a candidate. About 74% of voters in battleground states say they are definitely voting for Harris or Trump, up from 58% who said they had already made up their mind in the spring.
In five months, nonvoters decreased from 42% to 26%. The latest poll shows that 21% of likely voters in seven states do not fully support either Harris or Trump.
An Associated Press-NORC Public Affairs Research Center (AP-NORC) poll released Monday found that most registered voters prefer Trump or Harris on specific economic issues, such as unemployment and the cost of food and housing. Opinions differ as to whether the ability to cope is superior. , or tariffs.
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The survey found that only 38% of registered voters say the country's economy is doing well, while 62% of respondents think the economy is in bad shape.




