According to the latest reports, former President Trump leads President Biden in 6 of 7 closely contested states. Wall Street Journal pollpublished Wednesday.
Trump has a multiple point lead in each battleground state except Wisconsin, where polls show Biden is an independent, amid dissatisfaction with the economy and swirling questions about Biden’s age. He has a 3-point lead in a three-way race against Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
To win re-election, Biden will need to maintain the “blue wall” states he flipped in 2020: Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Trump leads in Michigan by 2 points and Pennsylvania by 3 points, but he is leading in each state. A large portion of undecided voters.
According to polls, Mr. Biden also carried Georgia, Nevada and Arizona in the last election, all of which had strong support for Mr. Trump. Trump holds a 3-point lead in Georgia, a 4-point lead in Nevada, and a 5-point lead in Arizona.
Third-party and independent candidates could be key for either candidate, with the group receiving about 15% of the vote in statewide polls. Mr. Kennedy has drawn support from both Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump, and Democrats have stepped up efforts in recent weeks to encourage voters to move away from Mr. Kennedy.
Despite briefly running for the Democratic nomination, the independent candidate’s outsider status, government skepticism, and anti-vaccine stance have made him popular among anti-establishment voters in both parties. There is.
On this issue, Trump has the advantage on the economy, borders and inflation, and Biden has the advantage on abortion. Democrats have highlighted reproductive rights as a key issue in November, focusing on in vitro fertilization (IVF) as a rallying point for supporters, with the state Supreme Court on Monday paving the way for a strict six-week abortion ban. In response, they began expanding into Florida.
Most respondents said their state’s economy was doing well, even though they sided with Mr. Trump on economic issues and expressed little confidence in the state’s economy. At least 60% of respondents in each battleground state except Wisconsin said their state’s economy was in good shape, but significantly fewer said the same about the national economy.
Georgia and North Carolina have the widest national and state economic disparities, with only 38% and 33% of respondents feeling positive about the national economy, but 67%, respectively, saying their state’s economy is doing well. % and 66%.
Michigan respondents had the most positive view of the economy, with 51% of respondents saying the national economy is doing well and 67% saying the same goes for their state’s economy.
The Wall Street Journal conducted a three-pronged poll of 600 registered voters in mid-March and found it had a margin of error of 4 percentage points. This economic data was obtained simultaneously from a group of 300 registered voters and had a margin of error of 5.6 percentage points.
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