Former President Donald Trump narrowly leads President Joe Biden among Michigan voters, Mitchell Research poll shows. found.
A test poll of 627 Michigan voters showed Mr. Trump leading Mr. Biden 47% to 44%, with the poll’s margin of error within 3 percentage points. Nine percent of voters are still undecided.
A five-way trial vote showed Mr. Trump leading Mr. Biden 44% to 42%, with independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (6%), Green Party candidate Dr. Jill Stein (1%), Independent Cornel West follows. (1 percent).
“African-Americans and young voters are not yet united around Biden, which is why Trump is in the lead. [sic] “Come home” to Biden, this race will be very close. Whichever candidate wins the vote in November, it will be a very close race,” said Steve Mitchell, president of Mitchell Research. Said.
📊 Michigan GE: Mitchell Research
Trump 47% (+3)
Biden 44%
.
Trump 44% (+2)
Biden 42%
RFK Junior 6%
West 1%
Stein 1%@MIRSnews | 2.0/3.0 | 3/15-16 | n=626https://t.co/rJd8i0WaEA pic.twitter.com/4WKeh2xD6V— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) March 24, 2024
Given a choice between Trump and Biden, 90% of Michigan Republicans said they would support Trump, compared to 84% of Democrats who said they would support Biden.
“[M]the important thing is, [Biden] Facing the embarrassing situation of giving away 12%A vote for former President Trump,” the poll report said.
By gender, Trump leads by a large margin among men (54% to 37%), while Biden leads among women (51% to 40%).
“This is highly unusual; Democrats generally win because they win more women than Republicans do men,” the report said.
By age group, Trump leads Biden by 18 points among those aged 18 to 44 (54 to 36%) and those aged 45 to 64 (50 to 39%).
Trump holds a 3 percentage point lead among white voters (47% to 44%), but Biden trails among black American voters, 58% to 33%.
“However, Mr. Trump holds a 33% (61%-27%) lead among voters who are neither white nor African American,” the report said.
According to the survey, Mr. Trump led by county in Wayne County (55% to 29%), Macomb County (54% to 45%), and northern Michigan/Upper Peninsula (51% to 42%). It turned out that . Biden leads in Detroit (62% to 38%), Oakland County (52% to 42%) and West Michigan (43% to 42%). Trump and Biden are tied at 45% in Genesee, Saginaw, Bay, Midland and the Thumb.
Voter enthusiasm is relatively strong overall in Michigan. 63% said they were “very enthusiastic,” 15% were “somewhat enthusiastic,” 7% were “not very enthusiastic,” and 12% were “not at all enthusiastic.”
Michigan Republicans are more enthusiastic than Democrats and independents about the upcoming election, 69% to 58% to 61%.
“This percentage is [sic] “This is a sharp contrast from the poll we conducted in June, when Democrats were far more enthusiastic than Republicans,” the poll report said.
Men (70 percent) report being more excited than women (57 percent), and white voters (65 percent) are more excited than black American voters (46 percent).
“The big question for both Democrats and Republicans is whether the African-American and young voters who appeal to Republicans will continue to appeal to Republicans as the election approaches. Even if they don’t, the 10 percent that favor Republicans “That huge difference in enthusiasm may be enough to get President Trump across the finish line in November,” Mitchell concluded.
The survey was commissioned by MIRS (Michigan Information and Research Service) was conducted by Mitchell Research & Communications on March 15-16, 2024. There is a 3 percent margin of error at a 95 percent confidence level.
