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The JL Partners/DailyMail.com election model has Donald Trump leading by 10 points.
Trump currently has a 55.2% chance of winning the election, while Kamala Harris has just a 44.6% chance of winning.
Kamala Harris may have had her most successful campaign week yet, with Donald Trump opening up a 10-point lead, according to the JL Partners/DailyMail.com election model.
The model analyses the latest polling data, decades of election results, and economic indicators to calculate who is likely to win the November election.
Still, Harris is still shown to have the best chance of winning the popular vote (her current approval rating is 50.8% and there is a 65% chance that she will receive more votes in November).
But state-by-state figures show the blue walls of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan leaning to Trump, giving him an overall edge when it comes to winning the White House.
This gives him a 55.2 percent chance of winning. Harris has a 44.6 percent chance of winning, with a very small chance of a tie.
“If current trends continue – and they've only lasted a week or so – we may see Trump take a more solid lead over the coming weeks,” said data analyst Callum Hunter.
Callum Hunter, a data analyst at JL Partners, believes Trump could extend his lead further in the coming weeks.
“The odds are stacked against Harris,” Hunter said. “After the debates and voting rights changes gave her an advantage in September, we're starting to see the situation revert back to where it was at the beginning of September.”
“If current trends continue (which have only been going for about a week), we may see Trump take a more solid lead over the coming weeks,” he added. “September seemed to be Harris' peak, but trends suggest this peak is over.”
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