Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden in several key battleground states, including Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, with many of these voters believing Trump would win in a head-to-head race. I believe that. A Redfield & Wilton Strategies poll released Monday found him trailing Biden.
investigation Asked A total of 6,029 swing state voters asked, “Who would you vote for in the November 5, 2024 presidential election?”
WATCH — Biden heckled by pro-Palestinian protesters at Charleston church:
sea span
The survey mentioned Mr. Trump, Mr. Biden and independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr., as well as a range of options for “other” candidates, including liberal and Green Party candidates. .
Trump leads Biden by 6 points in Arizona, with 41% polling compared to 35% for Biden. RFK Jr. is scoring 10 percent in the state.
Trump holds an 11-point lead in Florida, with Biden leading 45% to 34%. Kennedy has 9% support in the Sunshine State.
Mr. Trump led Mr. Biden by 8 points in Georgia, with the 81-year-old Mr. Biden having an approval rating of 42% and Mr. Biden at 34%. Kennedy is estimated to have an approval rating of 8% in the Peach State.
Trump has a smaller lead in Michigan, but still has a 2-point advantage over Biden (39% to 37% for Biden, followed by Kennedy's approval rating). 9%).
Trump leads Biden by 4 points in North Carolina, and Trump leads by 1 point in Pennsylvania.
🇺🇲 2024 GE: @RedfieldWilton
arizona
Trump: 41% (+6)
Biden: 35%
RFK Junior: 10%
—
georgia
Trump: 42% (+8)
Biden: 34%
RFK Junior: 8%
—
florida
Trump: 45% (+11)
Biden: 34%
RFK Junior: 9%
—
Pennsylvania
Trump: 40% (+1)
Biden: 39%
RFK Junior: 6%
—
michigan
Trump: 39% (+2)
Biden: 37%
RFK Junior: 9%… pic.twitter.com/P9Wt6gxHDF— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) January 8, 2024
Perhaps even more surprising is the fact that sentiment among voters in battleground states is on Trump's side, regardless of personal preference. When asked who they thought would win in a match between Trump and Biden, the gap in Trump's approval rating widened even further. In Pennsylvania, for example, 44% believe Trump will win. That's 11 points higher than the 33% who believe Biden will win in that particular state. The numbers are even higher in Arizona, where Trump leads Biden by 14 points among voters who believe Trump will win over Biden. Mr. Trump holds an 11-point lead in Florida and North Carolina, and in Georgia, 39% believe Mr. Trump will win, compared to 33% who say the same about Mr. Biden. In Michigan, Trump has a 7 point advantage over him on this particular question.
Who do you think is more likely to win the 2024 general election, Biden or Trump?
P.A.
Trump: 44% (+11)
Biden: 33%
Toss up: 16%mummy
Trump: 41% (+7)
Biden: 34%
Toss up: 16%arizona
Trump: 44% (+14)
Biden: 30%
Toss up: 16%florida
Trump: 44% (+11)
Biden: 33%
Toss up: 17%north carolina
Trump:… https://t.co/umbBRUYfmW pic.twitter.com/miIetrQ0Yt— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) January 8, 2024
More generally, the study found that Mr. Biden was hurt more by Mr. Kennedy's participation in the race than Mr. Trump.
According to Redfield & Wilton's strategy:
More voters said they would vote for President Biden than President Trump in 2020 if Robert F. Kennedy Jr. was the nominee in all six states surveyed. In fact, Biden voted three times as many times as Trump in 2020 (13% vs. 4%) in Florida, and more than six times as likely in Georgia (13% vs. 2%). Then he answered. .
The poll, conducted among 6,029 voters in battleground states from Dec. 28 to 30, is a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll released in November, when Trump led Biden in Arizona. It follows several other polls that have shown Trump with a lead in battleground states over the past few months. , ties in Georgia, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Michigan:
🇺🇲 2024 GE: Bloomberg/Morning Consult
georgia
Trump 48% (+7)
Biden 41%arizona
Trump 46% (+4)
Biden 42%
.
Pennsylvania
Trump 47% (+3)
Biden 44%
.
nevada
Trump 46% (+3)
Biden 43%
.
wisconsin
Trump 47% (+1)
Biden 46%
.
north carolina
Trump 48% (+9)
Biden 39%
.
michigan
Biden… pic.twitter.com/BXZfA7XDdp— Interactive Polls (@IAPolls2022) November 9, 2023
