With only two weeks left until Election Day on November 5th, the latest polls in the battleground state of Nevada predict a close race between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Trump, within the margin of error.
In the head-to-head contest for the state's coveted six electoral votes, Trump beat Harris 49% to 47%, according to AARP polling. The Republican presidential candidate maintains an even slimmer 1-point lead over the Democratic standard-bearer in all votes against third-party candidates, 47%-46%. The survey is the latest survey of voters that suggests a potential coin-flip race in Nevada.
Trump, who is seeking to retake the White House, is aiming to become the first Republican presidential candidate to carry Nevada since then-President George W. Bush, who won re-election in 2004. Trump narrowly lost the Silver State both in his 2016 White House victory and in his 2020 reelection loss to President Biden.
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Republican presidential candidate and former President Donald Trump smiles at the Beauty Society's Hispanic Roundtable on October 12, 2024 in North Las Vegas, Nevada. (Ethan Miller/Getty Images)
The AARP poll, conducted Oct. 8-15 and released Tuesday, shows the former president with a narrow lead among independent voters. It also points out that there is a large gender disparity, with Trump leading by 18 points among men and Harris leading by 15 points among women.
Recent polls in Nevada and across the country show support for the Democratic Party is declining among Latino voters, and AARP polling shows Trump is losing ground among these voters. He maintains a lead in the low single digits over Mr.
Harris and Cheney team up for a blitzkrieg on the battlefield
Notably, this study does not point to large educational disparities.
“The difference in educational attainment is small, with Ms. Harris gaining 6 points among voters with a college degree and Mr. Trump gaining 5 points among voters without a degree,” the poll's release emphasizes.
Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris walks up to Yvette Castillo, a Latino voter who recently lost her mother, at Univision City Hall in Las Vegas, Nevada on Thursday, October 10, 2024. (Melina Mara/Washington) Post, via Getty Images) (Melina Mara/The Washington Post via Getty Images)
Polls show Trump has a seven-point lead among voters over 50 and a four-point lead among voters over 65.
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“With the presidential and Senate elections so close together, appealing to older voters with higher turnout rates should be a key priority for all campaigns,” said Maria Moore, AARP Nevada state director. did. “If candidates want to win in Nevada, they need to focus on issues that matter to older voters, from protecting Social Security to supporting family caregivers to lowering the cost of necessities like food and housing. There is.”
Recent split images of Kamala Harris and Donald Trump (Getty Images)
Nevada is one of seven battleground states that narrowly decided Biden's victory over Trump in the 2020 election, and will determine whether Harris or Trump wins the 2024 White House race. likely to decide.
The Silver State is not only a presidential battleground, but also home to a key Senate race that will determine whether Republicans regain the House majority.
According to the poll, Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen holds a 5-point lead over Republican challenger Sam Brown, 49% to 44%.
AARP poll The survey was conducted by a bipartisan polling team of Fabrizio Ward (R) and Impact Research (D). The companies interviewed 1,368 likely Nevada voters. The overall sampling error for the survey is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
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