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Under 1% of March Madness 2025 brackets are still perfect after Day 1

If your March Madness 2025 Bracket has already been arrested, you have a lot of companies.

In fact, if the bracket is still alive, it is a big victory in itself.

According to the official NCAA March Madness Men's Basketball Account, after the first day of action and confusion, only 0.0938% of the brackets are alive.

How did you get here?

McNeese State's 69-67 No. 5 Clemson upset had mostly heavy lifting early in the day, not hurting just 4.48% of the bracket.

That number fell further at No. 6 BYU, led by Tater Tot heir Richie Saunders himself.

McNeese State Cowboys Forward Christian Shumate (24) celebrates with his teammates after beating the Clemson Tigers. Imaging images via Reuters Connect

The victory by Gonzaga, Tennessee and Arkansas left less than 1% of parentheses (0.6987) if it didn't work out of course.

Texas A&M and Drake sent it to less than a quarter percent with UCLA, St. John's, Michigan and Texas Tech finishing day one and closing 0.0938% of the madness bracket in March unharmed.

Arkansas Razorbacks' Trevon Brazil #4 congratulates them after beating the Kansas Jay Hawks 79-72 in the first round of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament. Getty Images

If you feel like you're going to bust early: don't.


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The probability of actually having a perfect bracket is one in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808, or just over 9.2 Quintilion. Even if you're a large basketball fan who can't make a mistake strategy to fill out the sheet, your chances will improve to 1 in 120.2 billion people.

Brigham Young Cougars drives into baskets by Richie Saunders (15) against VCU Rams Guard Michael Belle (8). Isaiah J. Downing Imagun Image

That being said, if you are still ahead of less than 1% of people who still have brackets, then you don't need to buy the lottery – you already have it.

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