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US Dollar Index falls as expectations for Fed rates change

US Dollar Index falls as expectations for Fed rates change

Dollar Index Drops After Fed’s Rate Cut

The U.S. dollar index (DXY) reached a new intraday low on Wednesday, following the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) anticipated third consecutive interest rate cut, which lowered its key policy rate to a three-year low. There was significant volatility in the market as investors tried to process the Fed’s latest strategy.

Post-announcement, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell addressed the media with caution. He mentioned that after three rate cuts, the Fed feels “comfortable” to adopt a wait-and-see approach, emphasizing the need to gather more data before deciding on future rate adjustments.

The Fed’s interest rate forecast, represented by the dot plot, has shown some widening, but the overall outlook from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has remained relatively unchanged since the last update. Most policymakers anticipate a rate cut once in 2026, followed by another one in 2027, stabilizing around 3.0%, which signifies a long-term level.

During the recent FOMC meeting, the committee voted 9-3 in favor of an additional quarter-point rate reduction. Within this, one member pushed for a more dramatic cut of 50 basis points, while two others preferred to keep rates steady.

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