Simply put

• This week’s top market at Myriad Markets features upcoming Bitcoin purchase size, NBA playoffs, and two pricing points.
• The trend continues as the strategy, known as MSTR, adds over 10,000 Bitcoin.
• Myriad’s odds now favor the Oklahoma City Thunder to secure the NBA Championship, beating traditional sportsbook predictions.

Myriad Markets is quickly becoming one of the most popular platforms in the crypto space, allowing users to demonstrate their insights across various sectors, including politics, sports, and entertainment.

In a variety of markets, users can utilize USDC or points to engage in real-time predictions that reflect the likelihood of real-world events. Whether betting on cryptocurrency values or game outcomes, participants can earn significant rewards for accurate forecasts.

This week, what predictions are gaining traction? Let’s take a look at some captivating markets currently in play.

(Note: Myriad Markets is a product of Dastan, which is the parent company of Decryption.)

Will Bitcoin purchases exceed 10,000 BTC this week (May 13th-19th)?

Market Open: May 13th
Market Closure: May 17th
Volume: $5.37K

New flash markets are emerging, aiming at predictors trying to figure out whether Michael Saylor’s MSTR buys Bitcoin, specifically focusing on how much is bought.

As the largest public holder of Bitcoin, MSTR currently owns 568,840 BTC, valued at over $58 billion, steadily expanding its treasury almost weekly.

This week alone, the company indicated an addition of 13,390 Bitcoin, bringing its treasury to exceed $1.3 billion from previous gains.

However, Saylor’s purchasing strategy remains fluid. The volume of purchases is variable and relies on Bitcoin’s current price; as the price climbs, the amount of BTC acquired for a set spending diminishes.

Meanwhile, Bitcoin prices have surged, hitting around $103,572, up about 2.4% for the week and over 22.5% for the month.

The last two purchases made by MSTR surpassed the 10,000 BTC threshold, though cumulatively, they totaled just 10,015 BTC from previous acquisitions.

Predictors are optimistic that Saylor will significantly bolster his holdings this week, with odds of adding over 10,000 Bitcoin climbing to about 68.4%. This figure has jumped nearly 18% since the market opened on Tuesday, dropping the “no” odds to 31.6%.

Interestingly, point predictors not making any financial commitments suggest Saylor’s chance of buying more than 10,000 BTC is at a mere 53%.

Despite setbacks in the first quarter, the Virginia-based firm is doubling down on its Bitcoin acquisition plans, significantly increasing its budget target for Bitcoin purchases.

That’s enough to comfortably facilitate the acquisition of over 10,000 BTC.

What’s next? Expect Saylor’s Bitcoin announcement on Monday, and stay tuned for updates over the weekend.

Who will be the 2025 NBA champion?

Market Open: April 14th
Market Closure: June 4th
Volume: $35.4k

Myriad’s forecasting market witnessed notable volatility this week as the excitement surrounding the NBA playoffs intensified.

Last week, predictors had slightly lowered the chances for the Oklahoma City Thunder and Boston Celtics to clinch the championship compared to traditional sportsbooks.

However, recent shifts have raised expectations for both teams, significantly altering their predicted odds.

Last Thursday, Myriad’s market gave the Celtics a 22% chance of repeating as NBA champions—close to what DraftKings Sportsbook suggested. But following Jason Tatum’s injury and a tough series against the New York Knicks, those odds dropped to about 6.6%, translating to roughly 14:1 odds of winning.

In contrast, DraftKings is currently offering 17:1 odds on the Celtics, revealing a slight edge of around 1.1% compared to Myriad’s predictions.

The 57.4% odds reflect an interesting divergence from the DraftKings line, approaching an approximate 55.56% in the broader sports betting market.

These percentages may appear minor, but collectively, they point to a nearly 3% advantage for Myriad predictors rallying for other teams.

What’s next? OKC faces the Nuggets on Thursday, aiming for a spot in the Western Conference Finals, while Boston has another elimination match on Friday in New York.

Will Nintendo raise the Switch 2’s $449.99 MSRP by June 5th?

Market Open: April 11th
Market Closure: June 5th
Volume: $45.6k

The persistence of market fluctuations, particularly related to Donald Trump’s trade policies, has left many consumers questioning the prices of various products, including gaming consoles.

This month, Microsoft revealed new price adjustments for Xbox consoles, attributing the changes to “market conditions and rising development costs.” Similarly, Sony has also updated the PS5 prices in select markets.

Meanwhile, Nintendo recently affirmed its intention to hold the Switch 2’s launch price steady, prompting many predictors to believe the MSRP will remain at $449.99. Current market odds reflect nearly 89% confidence from predictors that Nintendo will stick with this pricing.

These odds have significantly shifted since climbing over 20% from just 68% “no” earlier on April 18th.

It remains uncertain whether the economic climate will prompt any unexpected moves from the administration just ahead of the handheld’s launch; only time will tell.

What’s next? Pre-orders for the Switch 2 are set to open on April 24th, with public release planned for June 5th.